• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

StoneMtnWx said:
Through 57 12z nam looks better to me with the chaser wave. Looks to be better positioned to phase also southern vort trying to go neutral if reading it right...
c74fc76b74ab3a01ba24d29a18aac064.gif


Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Yep. Ridge in the West trending taller which will help the trailing wave drop South.
 
Through the end of run and some of this is ice but a good trend for coastal areas no doubt.
c8b22a1f83f4547606b91d67826085e6.jpg


Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk
 
Webberweather53 said:
Last night's crappy 0z suite may have been a fluke, we've trended back in the right direction and then some ever since... Hopefully this continues
View attachment 2480
Click to expand...
Eric is back in.... it's game on. Let's reel this puppy in and score a rare deep SE coastal bomb!
 
Yeah guys. Eric and Larry deserve this. Sorry for being so greedy. Is there anyway we can get a live cam for places like Savannah, and Tallahassee Florida ,Fayetteville NC if it does snow there so we can be there in spirit? That would be cool.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Certainly head scratching to see the always progressive NAVGEM the furthest west among most operational NWP models atm...
View attachment 2481
Click to expand...
Clayton Reid said:
Yeah guys. Eric and Larry deserve this. Sorry for being so greedy. Is there anyway we can get a live cam for places like Savannah, and Tallahassee Florida ,Fayetteville NC if it does snow there so we can be there in spirit? That would be cool.
Click to expand...
where do they live, I don't know them?
 
Brett said:
where do they live, I don't know them?
Click to expand...
They live in Savannah, Ga and Fayetteville NC. So I was seeing if we could get live cams to see the action while they see it possibly. They do deserve it, especially since Eric got screwed last time. No need to be greedy because more than likely interior Ga and maybe interior Sc may not get anything. U might tho.
 
StoneMtnWx said:
Through the end of run and some of this is ice but a good trend for coastal areas no doubt.
c8b22a1f83f4547606b91d67826085e6.jpg


Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Things just got a little bit more interesting. I would not be surprised to see some significant up-ticks in the ensembles today.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Maybe a large west shift today at 12Z? It's why you can't just let 2 runs make you throw out the lifeboats and how away
Click to expand...

Yep, I mentioned if this trend w/ the trailing s/w continued thru the 12z suites on most or all guidance today I'd be very concerned but apparently that won't be the case. I'll also probably be back in Raleigh by the time this shows up so I'm going to need even more help than I would down in Fayetteville
 
Didn’t Suffolk get an 8 inch storm last year? My aunt sent me pictures from Claremont


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
So, I should keep my ticket for Storms train leaving the station...lol however, IMHO the NAM fired a HUGE warning shot. There is a mjuch bigger area of deeper H7 RH and some very good lift/omegas that is over the northern GOM and into AL and GA then moving into the Gulf Stream, call me crazy, but the NAM told me that if models keep trending this way, this would put many more of us in play here.A phase over LA would help many in GA, and the Carolinas. Heck maybe even South Alabama if** the NAM isn't a fluke on this trend from 12z run
 
Clayton Reid said:
They live in Savannah, Ga and Fayetteville NC. So I was seeing if we could get live cams to see the action while they see it possibly. They do deserve it, especially since Eric got screwed last time. No need to be greedy because more than likely interior Ga and maybe interior Sc may not get anything. U might tho.
Click to expand...
Oh ok, I wish them luck they should get snow :)
 
deltadog03 said:
I was going to comment on that as well...lol hr 36 def a bit faster vs 6z run
Click to expand...

Only problem I see here yet again is the s/w on the south shore of the Hudson Bay is digging more, we need this to remain weak and lift to give even more of a chance for our trailer wave to catch up to our main s/w
 
Webberweather53 said:
Only problem I see here yet again is the s/w on the south shore of the Hudson Bay is digging more, we need this to remain weak and lift to give even more of a chance for our trailer wave to catch up to our main s/w
Click to expand...

I thought it was going to be a problem on the NAM at this range but the trailing wave tricked me by diving harder and further west than I expected. Hopefully, the GFS follows the NAMs lead here
 
Stormsfury said:
I thought it was going to be a problem on the NAM at this range but the trailing wave tricked me by diving harder and further west than I expected. Hopefully, the GFS follows the NAMs lead here
Click to expand...
Good points...chaser wave is getting pretty close by hr 60
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top