Clearly an uptick, you might be in a good spot...
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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
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NWS Jackson issued a Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Jackson MS 351 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION .A strong cold front will combine with a weather disturbance to bring wintry precipitation to the ArkLaMiss region Monday night into Tuesday morning. There is increasing confidence that significant snowfall will occur as temperatures fall rapidly behind the cold front changing rain to snow. With temperatures falling below freezing, icing of roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will become a concern as we near the morning commute. In addition, strong wind will combine with the cold temperatures to make for very cold wind chill readings. Stay tuned for updates on this developing winter weather situation. LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ030>033-035>059-280600- /O.NEW.KJAN.WS.A.0001.190129T0600Z-190129T1800Z/ Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA- Franklin LA-Tensas-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys- Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS- Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale- Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson- Including the cities of Bastrop, Oak Grove, Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, West Point, Columbus, Ackerman, Weir, Starkville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Kosciusko, Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Carthage, Philadelphia, Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Vicksburg, Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs, Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, and Fayette 351 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of one to two inches are possible with locally higher amounts. Temperatures are expected to fall below freezing resulting in icy roads. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, northeast, southwest and west central Mississippi and northeast Louisiana. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Tuesday.
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Jackson MS 351 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION .A strong cold front will combine with a weather disturbance to bring wintry precipitation to the ArkLaMiss region Monday night into Tuesday morning. There is increasing confidence that significant snowfall will occur as temperatures fall rapidly behind the cold front changing rain to snow. With temperatures falling below freezing, icing of roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will become a concern as we near the morning commute. In addition, strong wind will combine with the cold temperatures to make for very cold wind chill readings. Stay tuned for updates on this developing winter weather situation. LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ030>033-035>059-280600- /O.NEW.KJAN.WS.A.0001.190129T0600Z-190129T1800Z/ Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA- Franklin LA-Tensas-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys- Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS- Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale- Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson- Including the cities of Bastrop, Oak Grove, Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof, West Point, Columbus, Ackerman, Weir, Starkville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Kosciusko, Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Mayersville, Rolling Fork, Anguilla, Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Carthage, Philadelphia, Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Vicksburg, Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, Hazlehurst, Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs, Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, and Fayette 351 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of one to two inches are possible with locally higher amounts. Temperatures are expected to fall below freezing resulting in icy roads. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, northeast, southwest and west central Mississippi and northeast Louisiana. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Tuesday.
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packfan98
Moderator
Looking at the early 18z FV3 maps, I didn't notice any discernible differences from the 12z run.
Well remember last january models did the same thing for areas east of apps, increased qpf as it got closer until the event unfolded, of course that one was all snow but still
Rah NWS saying inch or less mainly I-85 north and west (for now) but also mention the concern for flash freezing/black ice for the morning commute.... could be low impact but still fun to see how it plays out. It's something different for around here anyway
18z GFS looks colder. Near 18z (arrival of precip) it’s colder. Near 40 T 2m now.
Storm5
Member
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WeatherNow
Member
It’s a clipper system. Anything can happen
Stormlover
Member
Bama model shows 13 degrees in my backyard at 6AM Tues as the snow winds down after about 2 in
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Storm5
Member
Nothing supports those temps . Seems way overdone
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Stormlover
Member
don't discard Baron lightly...their products rock...even if it's a little overdone, it's something to take note of.. and it's been consistent with the snow amounts and temps, unlike most of these other models
Storm5
Member
I’m not talking about the snow amounts I’m talking about the temperatures. There isn’t anything even in the same ballpark that supports that
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Stormlover
Member
I know, I just commented on that..it's been consistent and it's great products. I'd just watch for lower temps than forecast even if that is a little low.
If I somehow score three to four inches, it would beyond a huge win.
Fresh arctic air plus a snow pack ... I beg to differ seems legit
Jean-Claude Van Nam
Member
I think Haralson or Polk County in GA will be the jackpot in GA, outside of the mountains.
It also looks like N AL and N MS are getting their QPF reduced for that reason.
18Z FV3 appears to have a larger area of snow Tuesday Morning.
Am I looking at it incorrectly.
Am I looking at it incorrectly.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Look at all these winter storms OTD through the observed record in NC, just to make you realize how much this one sucks.
Roxboro got 36" during the Knickerbocker storm of 1922 & the observation was legit according to the various AMS publications I've read. Biggest single-storm snow total I've seen in any storm period east of the mountains.
Actually in retrospect this post should be moved to the wambulence thread lol.
Roxboro got 36" during the Knickerbocker storm of 1922 & the observation was legit according to the various AMS publications I've read. Biggest single-storm snow total I've seen in any storm period east of the mountains.
Actually in retrospect this post should be moved to the wambulence thread lol.
Stormlover
Member
I am all in with the FV3... Lol. For NC folks gonna take some good rates in a very narrow window of time to pull of any accums
Stormlover
Member
RAP through 6AM tues
Wouldn't be surprised. Roxboro jackpots in every NC winter storm. I think RDU could pick up a dusting if we're lucky.
I wouldn't put too much trust in that model. The FV3 kinda sucks to be honest.
Fine with me im right over by the polk paulding line
I think 1-2" is a good possibility for you. It's almost always better to be west of Atlanta than east of Atlanta in most winter systems. I would hate to live in Rockdale, Newton, Walton counties, etc.
Gefs is getting interesting last minute for nc ?
Storm5
Member
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5Stripes4life
Member
Looks like my area is right on cutoff line for the snow accumulations.
pcbjr
Member
anything? got tons of sloppy cold 43º rain we'd love to send ... LOL
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Still think I can pick up an inch or two from this. Models are still trending with more precip and colder, and we have 48 hours to go.
NWCummingWx
Member
It appears that Forsyth will be right on the fringe of getting almost nothing and making the ground a little white. At this point in a winter that I have not seen a sleet pellet or flurry, I'll take a dusting and call it a win. It does suck that only a county or two to my west will probably get 1-2" but I'll take what I can get. 1-2 counties to my east will probably get nothing so I should be happy.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Can’t take the snow accum maps verbatim bro. The snow doesn’t know where those lines are drawn & furthermore give zero effs about them.
People shouldnt take these maps verbatim because there are always surprises with winter storms. You just never know what will happen until it's happening.
Thanks but no thanks, had my share of that this year.... enjoy it, in fact be selfish and keep all of it for yourself
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