Storm5
Member
Through 00z Wednesday . No doubt the ugliest run yet . It’s like watching a slow death
18z vs 00z
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18z vs 00z
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Stormlover
Member
it's about it melting and freezing..that's the worst road..get's like a skating rink
Watch the euro hold steady, if it does we gotta give some props to it for its consistency
Trough wise. At one time all the models had the big vortex sitting over MN with a large broad trough across the south, the Euro was really the first to keep the vortex well in Canada and also really sharpen the trough to it's south. The other models are slowly correcting to the sharper trough and probably the low pressure wave next.
Of course I say that and now watch the Euro spit in my face.
I will be be very surprised if the Euro doesn’t come in with some really light shades of grey at 00z. It’s just not time for it to go *poof* completely yet. That will most likely come late Sunday night imo. Arctic fronts are just a really tough way to get snow. You would think they could update the frontal algorithm to make it a little more realistic in the long range
WarEagle22
Member
Me too lol. Wouldn't that be nice? Just hoping for something. I mean, the more the merrier, but at least something.
Through 00z Wednesday . No doubt the ugliest run yet . It’s like watching a slow death
18z vs 00z
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I don't know. To be honest looks like that all are matching up closer to the Euro and some of the esembles. I mentioned earlier when Kylo posted the 18z Euro Control that I expected a shaft zone if a small wave forms. Look at the FV3 and GFS tonight. The FV3 also continues to trend more separation. If this trend continues, it wouldn't surprise me to also see the two precip maximums and the minimum show even more. Can't say I don't like where I sit at the moment.
Attachments
I mentioned about the NAM having that same exact sharper trof, helps enhance precip
Euro is going to stay the course I believe. 
Snowflowxxl
Member
That looks worse than 12z, much lighter it appears.
The interesting part will be does it keep the surface wave.
Come on EURO
SE TN is hurting
SE TN is hurting
Parker
Member
Appears to hold serve
Nice
Snowflowxxl
Member
Maybe a little less, but would agree looks pretty similar. Temps maybe a little warmer in GA.
EURO MIGHT BE A TAD BIT SLOWER??