Snowflowxxl
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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
If it does snow a little it won’t be going anywhere fast . Gfs keeps some communities in northern Alabama near or below freezing for almost 72 hoursshades of 2014
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Don't forget Super Clipper from a year or so back that dropped several inches on.... wait that never happened after all.
FV3 is a much better hit for NC/SC vs last night this time. Maps will come soon, but for the Midlands/Large half of NC, 2 inches + TN with some sweet 6+ small spots and Northern AL around 1-2 inches or so. Georgia.. seems to dry out a bit.. but still some 0.5-1 inchers around.
Not the best quality maps on my end.
Not the best quality maps on my end.
if I’m not mistaken with that super clipper last year on Jan 17, models lacked in moisture for us sc/nc folks then as it got closer qpf really started trending up, not saying that this will happen but just putting this out there
Winter Storm
Member
FV3
must have the trailing wave that CMC showed?
ATLwxfan
Member
Yep, just like sd said based off my untrained eyes, and just like the cmc, the wave had time to re-amplify past the apps
kuchera ratio 
Want to see if more gefs members have more re-amplification of that wave past the mountains, should be an interesting run tonight
Shawn, is that cause of a low forming? Can’t see map yet on tibits.
Not sure quite yet. If there's a low, likely not much to it. I think it's going to follow the Canadian idea, but I'm waiting for decent maps.
JLL1973
Member
looks like your typical north of I40 event in the midsouth. Seen it many times.
Looks like the redevelopment after the arctic frontal passage is caused by this low out in the Atlantic several hundred miles east of Florida. It’s not forming in the gulf. Nothing much going on here really tbh
LovingGulfLows
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I see this potentially as a similar event to last year's anafrontal event. A nice little light snow that drops 1-2 inches here.
By the accumulation map, certainly looks that way. Guess we will see shortly
Y’all should take a look at ensemble 3 on the gefs, it will probably skew the mean noticeably lol
GeorgiaGirl
Member
GEFS is mildly interesting...a couple ensembles seem to try for redevelopment but I'm not going off the energy maps (I've tried to find them on COD but can't).
Here in Knoxville just hoping for some flakes to a inch anything more would be good
Gefs has backed off a little. 
Snowflowxxl
Member
Huge increase for GA,SC,NC though..
accu35
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Still really good, operational was a better run this time. But steady as she goes
Fv3 clown map. More people in the game. Almost 90 percent of the board gets a nice hit.
accu35
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Lots of ice on the southern parts this run.
I’d take this and run and call it a winter.
Can we bring the king aboard ?? I’m staying up .. great trends from all models tonight
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Backside snow is definitely a legitimate possibility with a front like this that'll be on the leading edge of exceptionally deep & cold air as the PV dives down into the Great Lakes. I wouldn't get caught up in the run-run changes this far out in how much snow for "x" backyard or states, but just recognize this is a legitimate setup to produce some wintry weather for many on the board and has a very strong case to be made despite the fact it's "cold air chasing moisture" granted the cold air is absolutely ridiculous.
This **could** be those rare cases where the air is so cold (for us especially) it squeezes every little bit of moisture out that’s available.
Euro pretty much flurries. 
