Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[TheBatman]

I am still locked at 144

 

[GaWx]

Going to be close call around hour 192.

 

[Brent]

flurries in NW AL at 156

 

[TheBatman]

 

[GaWx]

Snow breaks out parts of SE hour 192. Watch the next maps.

 

[TheBatman]

 

[Clem282340]

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Looks like it dries up as it head east

 

[LovingGulfLows]

I don't like the look of the surface low center to the north strengthening that much. I'd imagine that would bring warmer air in front of arctic boundary which means snow will be hard to get in this set up. If you notice on the FV3,the low stays fairly constant in pressure around 1012 mb.

 

[TheBatman]

 

[Brent]

snowing on the beach in MS/AL at 186 lol

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[WxWatch]

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Oh wow, 0z Euro has Gulf low too! Yes!

 

[TheBatman]

 

[TheBatman]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Classic setup here. Arctic frontal passage with low forming at the base of the trough. NW trend in full effect. Game on

 

[TheBatman]

 

[accu35]

And all this can start as early as Tuesday

 

[Meteorologist1999]

I notice snow map stop at hr 216 Euro goes out to 240 hr do it continue to the end of Run?

 

[GaWx]

All within only 8 days lol.

Anyway, this is a classic very weak low with a far south track over FL giving wintry to places uncommonly far south and near the coast. Likely will be very different next run, but this shows the setup those areas like to see to get wintry. I have a feeling one of these will occur between 1/30 and 2/20. Climo peak for this kind of track is actually ~2/8-16.
Mods, can you extend the end date of this thread to 2/20?

 

[RollTide18]

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Turns out this was a good run after all, putting all my chips in this storm.