• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

4f4606ea36ab8437ec2817fa7788d7c5.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Storm5 said:
We need to set expectations really low and remember these often dry up as we move forward in time .

I’d be tickled to death with 1-2 inches followed by plummeting temps


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Sorry I didn't have access to the FV3 maps like darkknight did so I couldn't see it for myself. From today's trends it is very apparent that is no longer a solution that is on the table but nonetheless MS, TN, AL, and NW GA look decent right now
 
mydoortotheworld said:
Sorry I didn't have access to the FV3 maps like darkknight did so I couldn't see it for myself. From today's trends it is very apparent that is no longer a solution that is on the table but nonetheless MS, TN, AL, and NW GA look decent right now
Click to expand...

@Storm5 how likely would you think a low could form on the cold front and make this a bigger deal??

If I had to guess myself. I would say maybe 30 percent chance. Maybe.
 
DarkKnight said:
@Storm5 how likely would you think a low could form on the cold front and make this a bigger deal??

If I had to guess myself. I would say maybe 30 percent chance. Maybe.
Click to expand...

Depends on what you consider a bigger deal to be . I honestly believe 1-2 totals with crashing temps is a huge deal . But if your looking for like 3-5 inch totals I’d say I’m at 12 percent


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Man I just looked at the 12z euro and I can’t believe how identical it is to the 18z gfs for next week at least. It has the big storm around the same time on Monday night and also has the multiple smaller disturbances later in the week just like the 18z gfs. What could go wrong? Lol
 
DarkKnight said:
Does anyone know why that happens.??

Losing the energy from this clipper going to the northeast??
Click to expand...
The mountains. It’s very easy to get cold into TN, AL and MS, sometimes bitter cold, while E of the mountains are in the 40s/50s and downslope dries up the precip
 
Actually think someone said that this is an energy transfer situation. Unless we can get a low to develop at the base of the trough, this is a no dice outside of the western part of the SE and maybe parts of NW Georgia and a part of NC.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Actually think someone said that this is an energy transfer situation. Unless we can get a low to develop at the base of the trough, this is a no dice outside of the western part of the SE and maybe parts of NW Georgia and a part of NC.
Click to expand...
This is correct. So far, no credible evidence that a wave will develop along the tail end of the front. Back in the day, that kind of thing wasn’t so uncommon. Now, you hardly ever see it. Not sure why.
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
Guys please keep in mby stuff in banter
Click to expand...
Well, there isn't a banter thread for this storm for one thing. And I do realize that bringing up locations that I can personally experience can get annoying (I must be 20th person to throw that question out there :D). I guess what I really need to know is a decent free site I can find my own snow totals projected for this storm, and others that come later. Give a man a snow map, and you've entertained him for a minute, teach a man how to find the good snow maps, and you've kept him tracking for years. At this stage though, the broken down snowmaps aren't going to be of much help, except to monitor them over the model runs to find any trends.
 
olhausen said:
Is the icon even that good? I almost never look at it but I do see people post it in here more recently it seems.
Click to expand...
It has been decent this winter. Warm bias for sure as noted by some. I just watch it as another resource, but don't put too much stock in it.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top