Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[Winter Storm]

Also guys you need to remember this. This is a artic airmass that is coming in. It is going to squeeze all the available moisture in the air.

Great point! I think we will need to watch how quickly the cold air gets in as well. If temps begin dropping faster than predicted we are in business. Just something to watch.

 

[Philstorm91]

Excellent graphic by the Jackson, MS office:

 

[Snowflowxxl]

When can we expect WSW to start popping up out west? Mississippi is 36 hours away and I know 2-3 inches is WSW criteria for them.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Excellent graphic by the Jackson, MS office:
View attachment 13823

Looks like you may have to pull an all nighter Monday night.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Welp sref went from 0.05 mean to nearly 0.2-0.25 snow mean for my area, baby steps ??

 

[Shawn]

Guys, the SREF is being phased out over time I believe into this: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/

 

[ajr]

Really nice increase on the FV3, and increase in precip on the Euro for central NC. Trends have definitely been positive today for seeing some snow here with this one.

A lot of that precipitation is going to come down as rain unfortunately as the column cools... we have a quick warmup with SW flow ahead of the front

 

[RollTide18]

SREF plumes for Montgomery have went up quite a bit, just last night the boom potential was less than an inch, today it’s over 2 inches.

 

[Tarheel1]

When can we expect WSW to start popping up out west? Mississippi is 36 hours away and I know 2-3 inches is WSW criteria for them.

Tomorrow morning. There going to get all the data they can

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Tomorrow morning. There going to get all the data they can

Nah I think they will issue a watch this afternoon and then tomorrow either upgrade to an Advisory or Warning.

 

[Tarheel1]

Welp sref went from 0.05 mean to nearly 0.2-0.25 snow mean for my area, baby steps ??

Really see the temps being the problem!? How is the cold going to get to CLT area with precip, and not here!?

 

[Philstorm91]

Tomorrow morning. There going to get all the data they can

The NWS offices in Memphis, Nashville, Morristown TN, and Jackson MS have already issued Special Weather Statements to highlight the potential impacts.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol idk because for some odd reason sc is boxed in with nothing and warmer temps and plus I live closer to I-40 in nc, downslope kills y’all more @Tarheel1

 

[Parker]

NWS Bham just messaged me this in regards to watches possible later.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

NWS Bham just messaged me this in regards to watches possible later.

View attachment 13829

Dang you got connections.

 

[snowman72]

Be interesting to see if any watches or warnings go up for the Knoxville area

 

[packfan98]

EPS improved for the same regions as the op did.

 

[Arjen Robben]

Can someone post a map of the EPS ?

 

[Parker]

EPS that pack is referring to. I compared it to 00z and it’s a great increase.

 

[Stormlover]

Meteogram showing some model runs for Huntsville. Most running in the 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 range