Sref plumes is still right at 2 1/2 inch for north Alabama area.
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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
PennyForYoutThoughts
Member
Am I right in assuming that the fv3 model brings the cold air in quite a bit before the rain moves out in order to get the snow all the way to the gulf coast in LA, Miss, ALa and Fla panhandle?
Didn't someone say earlier that the SREF is garbage ?
HSVweather
Member
Meanwhile, Spann says no change after latest models.
I am riding with gives mby the most. ??
Also in this range I go with short range models.
I am really surprised with how aggressive Spann is being. His "boom" says 4" but I don't really see anything that indicates 4" is a real possibility for Birmingham.
Stormlover
Member
heck no it is not. The NWS used it a lot for these events...smh
Stormlover
Member
BAMS model showing temps of at 8AM Tues...with snowfall
Philstorm91
Member
Central MS scores with this run of the Euro. I'd be very happy with this.All in
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They are often wrong and too aggressive . Not always , but often
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Yeah because you will be near Jackson right ?
Philstorm91
Member
Yeah, mby might just see a few flakes at the end per this morning's NWS discussion for the local office.
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Also guys you need to remember this. This is a artic airmass that is coming in. It is going to squeeze all the available moisture in the air.
Winter Storm
Member
Spann is thinking models could be underplaying the intensity of the cold air. This means a quicker change and leading to a possible longer duration of snow in some spots.
Stormlover
Member
Sure haven't. Same discussion from 5:34 this morning..but all of a sudden fake news says they've changed and we may not get anything, LOL
Philstorm91
Member
Just as a reminder we're now less than 36 hours away from the event for some of us. The short range models will have to be watched.
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Stormlover
Member
Bham and other NWS offices use them for these events, it is much better than the global models now
the SREF
mean has increased to near 1.5 inches for Birmingham. Several
SREF members are now in the 2 to 4 inch range as well.
SREF at 2.55 up here at Hunstville
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Really nice increase on the FV3, and increase in precip on the Euro for central NC. Trends have definitely been positive today for seeing some snow here with this one.