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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

A sfc low like the NAM shows would help many areas east of the apps, even if the snow is short lived, a quick deform like band can quickly drop a inch to a few inches since rates can overcome wet ground, this applies more for 85-north tho
 
Why are some of these models developing dry slots? The one the NAM had running due north into N AL was pretty bad and the FV3 has one that’s worse running SW to NE.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
A sfc low like the NAM shows would help many areas east of the apps, even if the snow is short lived, a quick deform like band can quickly drop a inch to a few inches since rates can overcome wet ground, this applies more for 85-north tho
Click to expand...
Not at 45 degrees
 
18z gefs
aa5986941c744fe65917d85dba17999b.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Look how the euro has trended and is likely telling us about some changes to the location of the PV
B51CF0A5-C2D7-4D18-9763-559D64F62634.gif
 
I wonder in this setup if elevated thunderstorms can happen before the changeover for some areas, with a strong artic front like that and decent lift and also decent mid lapses it seems possible, happens in the plains
 
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