Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[Cary_Snow95]

So we need a low at the tail end to moist it up? Or more of a consolidated?

We need it to stop leaving energy in the sw and stretching the vort out. We want the wave to stay consolidated and dig rather than become elongated

 

[accu35]

We need it to stop leaving energy in the sw and stretching the vort out. We want the wave to stay consolidated and dig rather than become elongated

Thanks, that's what I was thinking.

 

[TheBatman]

FV3 has improved from what I can see on the noaa website. Looks like a nice 2-4 inches for a lot of us on here. I will post better pictures when they come available..

 

[RollTide18]

Could this be the real deal?

 

[Shawn]

I can tell you that the 00z FV3 will be quite a storm modeled for MS, AL, TN. 6 inches+ in spots.

 

[mydoortotheworld]

Could this be the real deal?

We seem to be having a hard time getting threats under 7 days but it looks like this one definitely has legs

 

[accu35]

I can tell you that the 00z FV3 will be quite a storm modeled for MS, AL, TN. 6 inches+ in spots.

What time period, my map is slow

 

[Shawn]

What time period, my map is slow

I didn't even look at the stamps tbh. 150 hr + but not "lala land". 28-30th abouts. You'll be pleased with the snow maps in a little while, barring there being some warm nose anomaly I didn't see.. pretty cold heights.

 

[TheBatman]

I didn't even look at hte stamps tbh. 150 hr + but not "lala land". 28-30th abouts.

Right at 6 days. So its close to being in a good readable frame for the models. We hope. Fingers cross. I will try to stay up for the euro to see what it brings.

 

[accu35]

I didn't even look at the stamps tbh. 150 hr + but not "lala land". 28-30th abouts.

Ok thanks, prolly Monday/ Tuesday storm

 

[WxWatch]

Could this be the real deal?

Could be, at least we're not looking at something 10+ days away. Something may actually verify in the 1/29 - 1/30 window.

 

[accu35]

Right at 6 days. So its close to being in a good readable frame for the models. We hope. Fingers cross. I will try to stay up for the euro to see what it brings.

FV3/Euro/Even Icon has so much more moisture to work with than gfs. Gfs has been known to lack on that mosture department and strengthen in time

 

[Stormlover]

But it did give snow to MS, TN, Central AL, and parts of North Georgia.

not really, see accumulation map

 

[accu35]

Right at 6 days. So its close to being in a good readable frame for the models. We hope. Fingers cross. I will try to stay up for the euro to see what it brings.

Yeah that's not long at all, very strong signal for this one. Let's keep this under 5 days lol.

 

[TheBatman]

not really, see accumulation map

Huh??
Based off noaa website.

It should be nice even for north/central Miss and Alabama, north Georgia, northern South Carolina and most of North Carolina.

 

[accu35]

Huh??
Based off noaa website.

It should be nice even for north/central Miss and Alabama, north Georgia, northern South Carolina and most of North Carolina.

He's talking about gfs run lol

 

[Stormlover]

Huh??
Based off noaa website.

It should be nice even for north/central Miss and Alabama, north Georgia, northern South Carolina and most of North Carolina.

do you see snowfall in those places?

 

[Snowman63]

Huh??
Based off noaa website.

It should be nice even for north/central Miss and Alabama, north Georgia, northern South Carolina and most of North Carolina.

I think there talking about the old GFS not the GFS-FV3

 

[accu35]

do you see snowfall in those places?
View attachment 12695

LOl, your talking about gfs he's talking about FV3

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Pretty sure the CMC is dry for this period.