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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

I can tell you that the 00z FV3 will be quite a storm modeled for MS, AL, TN. 6 inches+ in spots.
 
accu35 said:
What time period, my map is slow
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I didn't even look at the stamps tbh. 150 hr + but not "lala land". 28-30th abouts. You'll be pleased with the snow maps in a little while, barring there being some warm nose anomaly I didn't see.. pretty cold heights.
 
Shawn said:
I didn't even look at hte stamps tbh. 150 hr + but not "lala land". 28-30th abouts.
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Right at 6 days. So its close to being in a good readable frame for the models. We hope. Fingers cross. I will try to stay up for the euro to see what it brings.
 
DarkKnight said:
Right at 6 days. So its close to being in a good readable frame for the models. We hope. Fingers cross. I will try to stay up for the euro to see what it brings.
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FV3/Euro/Even Icon has so much more moisture to work with than gfs. Gfs has been known to lack on that mosture department and strengthen in time
 
DarkKnight said:
Right at 6 days. So its close to being in a good readable frame for the models. We hope. Fingers cross. I will try to stay up for the euro to see what it brings.
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Yeah that's not long at all, very strong signal for this one. Let's keep this under 5 days lol.
 
DarkKnight said:
Huh??
Based off noaa website.

It should be nice even for north/central Miss and Alabama, north Georgia, northern South Carolina and most of North Carolina.
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He's talking about gfs run lol
 
fv3p_ref_frzn_us_27.png
 
Yup, it has improved. here we go. It’s a good hit.

2-4 for most on there. Some isolated 4-6..
Also consider the snow ratio might be a 15;1being so cold behind it.
F910423B-ADC5-42E2-9359-D21606EF986D.gif
 
DarkKnight said:
Yup, it has improved. here we go. It’s a good hit.

2-4 for most on there. Some isolated 4-6..
Also consider the snow ratio might be a 15;1being so cold behind it.
View attachment 12700
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Looks a bit like 1/28/14, except that it's more North, idea for Alabama the same, mainly snow in the North central part and an icy mess South of there.
 
WxWatch said:
The low stays in the Gulf of Mexico, but that's okay for now. A lot of times when lows develop on the tail end of strong cold fronts, they normally turn out to be Miller A storms. That's a perfect track for the low to be at this point.
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2 storms would be something if the tail end forms a Low that brings a second round of winter weather if north bound. I'm happy with just getting something.
 
If I’m not mistaken, if a miller A was to develop on the end of the the stalled front like the fv showed, that a similar setup to feb 2014, just the fv shows it south
 
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