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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
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Kylo
Member
Trend today has been for snow further south in AL
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Yep! Looks like the GFS should be a little better this run! Little more precip!
Kylo
Member
SE trend on GFS for NC too
packfan98
Moderator
Agreed. The precip enhancement across the gulf has translated to a better look further south into Alabama and also gives Atlanta and central NC a better shot at seeing snow.
Gfs tries to show ZR in the western piedmont of nc but is a outlier with dry dgz’s here but otherwise gfs is actually impressive
packfan98
Moderator
I think we need the models with the most precip to verify and hope that we can get some dynamic cooling and a faster flip to snow. If there's widespread amounts of higher than .25" of precip, I'll take my chances that some of it will flip to snow.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Curiously Panovich is honking the flash freeze more-so than snow for Charlotte, NC
Lots of banter in this thread . Now that we are getting closer to the actually system we will be moving and or deleting banter posts including those of any admin or mod . I’ve had like a million today. It’s not that your comments are not welcomed but we have banter threads for a reason and want to keep this one clear for people that are looking for actual information regarding this system
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packfan98
Moderator
Well, the precip is the more likely bet at this point. At least he's mentioning there could be some type of impact.
I agree @packfan98 , gsp is saying light precip but this sounding would support convection which means bursts, like I said this Is like trying to find where the summer storms will pop, get the most lift, best lapses and you may get a inch due to a short period of heavy rates, but looking at that sounding temps would crash once heavier precip makes an entrance (dynamical cooling)
If I'm not getting sucked in by the NAM it's the happy hour GFS.... however, I do like the trends, just hard to get excited east of the Apps with a arctic front snow threat
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packfan98
Moderator
Here's the precip totals from the 18z gfs. If this verifies, I'll take my chances.
