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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

tarheels2 said:
This guy is clearly a genious about every dang topic. Man just chill out with jeez it is getting old quick. As someone already posted, you don’t even live in SE anymore yet have the answer (and most of the time a negative one) for everything
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I will be in Georgia for this storm so I believe I have every right to offer my opinion. I am chasing this storm and will be there tomorrow evening.
 
SouthATLwx said:
In all fairness, Daytime temps at the time were in the teens and 20s (it remains to be seen if that happens again).

That said, it's a lot harder to melt a thick sheet of ice than snow. Plus, the relatively deep/wet snow pack on top of that ice limited the extent of heating from the sun.
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Very true. If it's just snow on the roads its a lot easier to melt.
 
Winter storm watch
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Wow, no shortage of precip here on the ICON. Hope it is onto something.
 
SD said:
Its also all rain on the icon here

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Hoping it's a boundary layer warm bias.... not sure what the 850's are but considering the 540 line is east of the precip I'm guessing cold, so the bl screws us on the ICON
 
Gfs tries to show ZR in the western piedmont of nc but is a outlier with dry dgz’s here but otherwise gfs is actually impressive
 
metwannabe said:
Hoping it's a boundary layer warm bias.... not sure what the 850's are but considering the 540 line is east of the precip I'm guessing cold, so the bl screws us on the ICON
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I think we need the models with the most precip to verify and hope that we can get some dynamic cooling and a faster flip to snow. If there's widespread amounts of higher than .25" of precip, I'll take my chances that some of it will flip to snow.
 
Lots of banter in this thread . Now that we are getting closer to the actually system we will be moving and or deleting banter posts including those of any admin or mod . I’ve had like a million today. It’s not that your comments are not welcomed but we have banter threads for a reason and want to keep this one clear for people that are looking for actual information regarding this system


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I agree @packfan98 , gsp is saying light precip but this sounding would support convection which means bursts, like I said this Is like trying to find where the summer storms will pop, get the most lift, best lapses and you may get a inch due to a short period of heavy rates, but looking at that sounding temps would crash once heavier precip makes an entrance (dynamical cooling)
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If I'm not getting sucked in by the NAM it's the happy hour GFS.... however, I do like the trends, just hard to get excited east of the Apps with a arctic front snow threat
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