NCSNOW
Member
Looks like back door front in route is around ashland,wakefield over to charlottesville heading back south. Passed as a warmfront earlier today. Whew at the fog out tonight.
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
I did another winter storm analog scan, adding in, as requested by @Myfrotho704_ the +PNA.
Graphic #1: All storms with a -WPO, +PNA, -NAO.
Graphic #2: Big dogs with a -WPO, +PNA, -NAO.
Some of the storms that produced big dogs were:
I didn't add January 2002, or February 2004 because they didn't match the requirements, but all had a similar look.
Graphic #1: All storms with a -WPO, +PNA, -NAO.
'1950-12-28 00z', '1956-01-23 00z', '1960-02-13 00z', '1960-02-14 00z', '1962-03-06 00z', '1964-01-12 00z', '1964-01-13 00z', '1964-02-08 00z', '1966-01-23 00z', '1966-01-25 00z', '1966-01-26 00z', '1966-01-27 00z', '1966-01-29 00z', '1966-01-31 00z', '1969-02-15 00z', '1969-02-16 00z', '1969-02-17 00z', '1978-02-19 00z', '1978-02-20 00z', '1980-02-09 00z', '1980-02-10 00z', '1983-04-18 00z', '1983-04-19 00z', '1987-01-22 00z', '1987-01-23 00z', '1987-01-25 00z', '1987-01-26 00z', '1987-02-16 00z', '1987-02-17 00z', '1993-02-27 00z', '2000-01-25 00z', '2001-01-08 00z', '2001-01-09 00z', '2006-02-11 00z', '2010-02-12 00z', '2010-02-13 00z', '2010-03-02 00z', '2010-03-03 00z'
'1960-02-13 00z', '1960-02-14 00z', '1962-03-06 00z', '1966-01-29 00z', '1966-01-31 00z', '1969-02-15 00z', '1969-02-16 00z', '1969-02-17 00z', '1980-02-09 00z', '1980-02-10 00z', '1987-01-22 00z', '1987-01-23 00z', '1987-02-16 00z', '1987-02-17 00z', '1993-02-27 00z'
I didn't add January 2002, or February 2004 because they didn't match the requirements, but all had a similar look.
These suck. Please add good ones
I later took a look of all the -NAO, +PNA, +WPO dates that didn't produce snow to compare to the ones that did. Basically the same look, but one had a s/w centered in the right place.
According to the Euro, we're looking to surpass -3 sigma -NAO heights. There have been only 12 times that has happened since 1950.
'1962-12-31 00z', '1963-04-07 00z', '1963-04-08 00z', '1976-12-27 00z', '2010-01-02 00z', '2010-01-03 00z', '2010-01-04 00z', '2010-11-26 00z', '2010-12-15 00z', '2018-03-01 00z', '2018-03-02 00z', '2018-03-03 00z'
'1962-12-31 00z', '1963-04-07 00z', '1963-04-08 00z', '1976-12-27 00z', '2010-01-02 00z', '2010-01-03 00z', '2010-01-04 00z', '2010-11-26 00z', '2010-12-15 00z', '2018-03-01 00z', '2018-03-02 00z', '2018-03-03 00z'
I still don’t expect much from that wave but seeing the trends in the Atlantic with the trough under going back west is something I like and could do something better after this
It’s kind of funny that models had this look about a week ago for this wave, or maybe the last one? I don’t remember.
Yeah the control showed a snowstorm a week or so ago from the same wave that’s a bit interesting
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Ice look all day, everyday.
Lol! This has got to be the most 180 flip on the Cansip I’ve ever seen!
A couple members got something.. better than the nun last run
ATLwxfan
Member
It’s amazing how infrequently we have seen a good fantasy storm this winter. Sure it’s a long way to go but at least give us a 
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Exactly while I’m internationally panicking. Sure we have good indices, but please connect that Atlantic trough to the SE please!It’s amazing how infrequently we have seen a good fantasy storm this winter. Sure it’s a long way to go but at least give us a
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ATLwxfan
Member
Last year we got our hearts broken by the MJO. This year I hope it’s not the indices.
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