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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

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I'm 4 hours away from this potential. Ponca city Oklahoma here I come

I've been looking west out towards Abilene but Oklahoma has been the jackpot this winter so far ?

Lot of time to figure it out I'm staying here til Thursday for sure
 
Pretty strong signal for severe weather around that timeframe (D10-12) given the active pac jet and eastern US ridging on the gfs/gefs and even EPS
 
This is what we’re looking for ( it’s the 384 hour GFS I know) but this is basically the potential you get with these blocks shown here View attachment 61042
Yup, beat me too it! Awesome look at the end of the GFS. Definitely storm potential if that look verified verbatim!
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Better late than never, the 0Z GEFS has finally resumed nearly 2 hours late! It may take til after 3 AM to finish!
 
It can happen anytime but the given odds on any day of it happening are incredibly low lol. Wonder how the 2020s will be snow wise , lower or higher than the 2010s. Odds would say higher but who knows .
Since reliable records began in the 1890s, the 2010s were the least snowy decade at RDU by over a foot. Only 39.5" - about one-third behind the 1981-2010 averages. The next-least snowy decade was actually 1941-1950 with 54".
 
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