Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[SouthSideYankee]

Past 3 EPS runs for day 7-12

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Gnarly trend

 

[SD]

Past 3 EPS runs for day 7-12

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Fooking delicious

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is making it into the D10 window, the -PNA hands off a S/W and it heads East and brings cold with it

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Past 3 EPS runs for day 7-12

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Getting saved by that -NAO digging in. Wonder much longer can we keep that up..still super troughy back west

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Past 3 EPS runs for day 7-12

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I like those heights above AK nudging toward the pole ??

 

[iGRXY]

The pole is looking better with the -NAO and ridging above Alaska. Plus you getting troughs getting pulled back east and a ridge pushing further into the central and western US.

 

[whatalife]

This is making it into the D10 window, the -PNA hands off a S/W and it heads East and brings cold with it View attachment 65935View attachment 65936View attachment 65937

This by far is the coldest 7 mean for the EPS.

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[packfan98]

This by far is the coldest 7 mean for the EPS.

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4-5 degrees below normal for most of the SE for a 7 day mean...in January...on the EPS??? Pretty impressive.

 

[Metwannabe]

4-5 degrees below normal for most of the SE for a 7 day mean...in January...on the EPS??? Pretty impressive.

And looks like only 4 AN days for RDU out of the next 15, not too shabby

 

[KyloG]

This looks like legit arctic cold...to the north of us it has many members below freezing for highs.

 

[SD]

This looks like legit arctic cold...to the north of us it has many members below freezing for highs.


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This reminds me of EPS when we started moving in on that cold shot in Dec 17-Jan 18. Doubt its the same magnitude but 39 at RDU is solid and that's only 4 days of 16 with above normal highs

 

[superjames1992]

And looks like only 4 AN days for RDU out of the next 15, not too shabby

Going to be some cold rains!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s a pretty legit signal of cold for a EPS mean

 

[Webberweather53]

This by far is the coldest 7 mean for the EPS.

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Amazing how close the EPS precip forecast is to the -AO/-NAO/-EPO composite I showed a few days ago

 

[mrdaddyman]

This by far is the coldest 7 mean for the EPS.

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I just hope the faucet doesn't turn off if the cold air does get here.

 

[whatalife]

Amazing how close the EPS precip forecast is to the -AO/-NAO/-EPO composite I showed a few days ago

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Glad you showed this again. I was trying to find your earlier post because I thought it looked similar.


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[Ron Burgundy]

Sharply I-40 based though.

Uh...yeah.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

don’t wanna break hearts, but that pattern at first is more favorable for NC/upstate of SC/TN, the other parts of the SE have to wait till that muted SER retrogrades west imo

 

[Tarheelwx]

Seems to me the faucet has been turned off since the last big rain just before Christmas. GSO has 0.89 mtd which is about 40% below normal. Go back to Christmas, and the last 3 weeks are probably more like about 60% below normal. Add in that there are no certain soakers on the horizon, then we're going to need more than just temps to change if we want a solid winter storm. Need the stj to get cranking again here sometime next week.
TW

 

[iGRXY]

don’t wanna break hearts, but that pattern at first is more favorable for NC/upstate of SC/TN, the other parts of the SE have to wait till that muted SER retrogrades west imo

Was just about to say ETN/Piedmont & WNC/Upstate SC/ NE Georgia likely to be the most in play at this point until the ridge pushes west and even here CAD is likely going to be the big opportunity.