Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol this time isn’t even a SER, it’s a west based southeast block ?

 

[SD]

Lol this time isn’t even a SER, it’s a west based southeast block ?View attachment 65886View attachment 65887

Oh man. That's it. That's the post

 

[Broken024]

I'll take this?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[ForsythSnow]

View attachment 65892View attachment 65891

I don't think I've ever seen a winter where we've had the SER trend into nonexistence vs trend stronger in recent years.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

@Justanotherweatherfan thats a good thing the SER is backing off

 

[ryan1234]

I've been taking a little break from posting on here (for personal reasons) but I've been watching from afar. But I am glad to see things coming back to work in our favor. At least for now. Let's keep this mojo up and hopefully reel ourselves- board wide- a decent winter storm!

 

[Justanotherweatherfan]

@Justanotherweatherfan thats a good thing the SER is backing off

Yeah sorry I misread that post

 

[sdm47]

EPS is starting to honk for late January. Long way out, but that's still pretty impressive (and suggests some colder storms based on KFAY mean).

 

[CaryWx]

If this holds should be tracking a storm next week for arrival last week of Jan. Been lots of activity signals showing for last week of the month and hope the models can zero in on this more by mid next week.

 

[NCSNOW]

EPS is starting to honk for late January. Long way out, but that's still pretty impressive (and suggests some colder storms based on KFAY mean).

CFS Wants to be your Valentine. Says you dont need late January!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Starting to get this into the D10 window And this looks mildly interesting, not a bad pattern for Cold air damming to pop up given the SE Canada vortex and the S/W handoffs From the west
Coast trough
Worth noting that CAD doesn’t normally appear until D 7-8 on ensembles

 

[EmersonGA]

I don't think I've ever seen a winter where we've had the SER trend into nonexistence vs trend stronger in recent years.

Probably not since 2010-2011.

 

[packfan98]

Lots of noise on the GEFS for the 1/27-1/28 timeframe.

 

[Broken024]

Lots of noise on the GEFS for the 1/27-1/28 timeframe.
View attachment 65904

Lol what the hell is going on in # 20.

 

[mrdaddyman]

Well, this is a start. Need colder air with this system though or it's going to be yet another MA & NE storm come game time.

 

[SD]

Lol what the hell is going on in # 20.

Doncane

 

[Myfrotho704_]

One thing I’m noticing is the significant retrogression of the pattern, as the pacific block heads <<<<<<, so does the trough with it and the ridge out ahead, I’m noticing the models want to slowly retrograde our ridge to the central Us and SW, and bring the trough in the Atlantic towards the EC

 

[SD]

One thing I’m noticing is the significant retrogression of the pattern, as the pacific block a heads <<<<<<, so does the trough with it and the ridge out ahead, I’m noticing the models want to slowly retrograde our ridge to the central Us and SW, and bring the trough in the Atlantic towards the ECView attachment 65907View attachment 65908View attachment 65909

I'd be interested to see P6/7 500mb composites with similar enso and how they rolled forward.

 

[CaryWx]

Is that a cold trough (CAD)?