Montana bout to cash in!Well then...Days 11-16...
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Nice looking blocking tho.
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Nice looking blocking tho.
whatalife
Moderator
I expect it will change with the next run. The good thing is we're at least trending toward more of a 50/50 signal. That's good. I'm still not quite convinced that we're going to be all that cold, but we don't have any control over the matter, so there's not much to do but continue to watch and wait.
whatalife
Moderator
But what about the SSW event coupled with a possible -EPO.?.That’s got to mean cold for the SE, right? #Sarcasm
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NoSnowATL
Member
I may be getting too weenieish but the setup is certainly close to one where we could drop in a multiple days near or below freezing air mass into the SE
Unfortunately a few small changes and it's a few days near 70
whatalife
Moderator
Montanasnow30
Member
Can someone post the full gefs member for this map
LickWx
Member
Wednesday and Thursday look like they want to get into the low 60s here possibly with sun! Please oh please do it ! Let’s enjoy some mild weather . Dang shame I probably will be stuck working the whole time . I’ll definitely find time for a hike though .
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Getting very strong Mar 2018 vibes with this look on the models. Considering there were 3 accumulating snow events east of the mountains within 2 weeks in mid-late March when our climo for cold sucks, & despite the fact that a -PNA is showing up, we're still definitely headed towards a great pattern in late Jan & we'll have plenty of cold to work w/ overall.
LickWx
Member
March 2018 , the month ( honestly year ) Raleigh was freezing its balls off while Charlotte and Atlanta were like 5 degrees warmer for the entire month . Talk about nuts and aggravating . We were cold for the month they were freaking avg to warmer than avg. I had never seen such a monthly difference over short distance .
NoSnowATL
Member
Yea we need that pattern then. NOPE.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah that's pretty close to where we're headed late Jan/early Feb based on the models except now we have way better climo for cold/snow & we still got 3 events in mid-late Mar. One caveat may be it's easier to get bigger wave breaks in Mar because the background flow is slower & wavelengths are shorter, but even still, you gotta like our chances here...
Downeastnc
Member
And its literally like this every single winter.....model SUCK with wholesale pattern changes...they always have, they always put them off for too long and then reverse them in only a few weeks only to have the pattern hold weeks longer than they show.....its IMPOSSIBLE for the models to catch and time every S/W that is gonna drop in....I wouldnt bet on anything after day 7 at this point.....people just need to be chill and let the pattern play out, there will be plenty of winners I think, and unfortunately a few losers but if there are not 2-3 decent widespread SE winter events between Jan 15th and Feb 15th I will be surprised....
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Im no expert at reading maps but wouldn't all those yellows along the Gulf Coast mean warm weather ? Not good for most of the south.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We don’t live at 500mb. Sfc temps often look a lot different