Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[cd2play]

Im no expert at reading maps but wouldn't all those yellows along the Gulf Coast mean warm weather ? Not good for most of the south.

It depends on where the front stalls. It could mean more moisture for overrunning events... or it could turn a would be snowstorm into 35 degrees and rain. I fully expect at least the upper southeast to get a 4"+ event at some point. I wonder what the schools will do then?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Wow very similar View attachment 65104View attachment 65105View attachment 65106

Although it does look a little bit different with 2018 having the lowest heights over the Pacific rather than the NW. I don’t know how much it means though.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Although it does look a little bit different with 2018 having the lowest heights over the Pacific rather than the NW. I don’t know how much it means though.

Yeah probably because the wavelengths are more longer now since it’s mid winter Vs March

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I remember that March 2018 ULL, that was quite a impressive burst of snow but so short

 

[Ollie Williams]

I remember that March 2018 ULL, that was quite a impressive burst of snow but so short

That month was awesome for me, however I got screwed relative to Eden and Roxboro. I believe that was the heaviest snow I’d seen. It flipped over to sleet after about 30 minutes, but I remember the group temperature being around 50, and watching snow legitimately start to accumulate on the cracks of my sidewalk. Roanoke really jack potted like crazy that month.

 

[Stormdoc]

Interesting reading Cohens recent update that was posted above. Winter 17/18 was mentioned and it had a major SSW event in mid February. This later contributed to that marvelous March some of us had, starting a couple of weeks later.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ICON brought the southern slider back

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Would be nice to see another model show this... that’s a textbook slider

 

[Chandler]

Decent!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Decent!View attachment 65116

What a beauty, hopefully we can get this system back on the major globals

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Interesting

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What I meant by that is this, getting close to a nice flizzard event , let’s shift it south some more

 

[Myfrotho704_]

For the GFS to already be showing soundings like this under the cold pocket aloft with those snow showers, that’s pretty solid, the Low level drying is just the problem (note once you wet bulb from precip falling into the dry layer at the sfc, you get evaporative cooling, and you cool down the sfc to the wet bulb temp, it’s snow)

 

[Tarheelwx]

Slop fest. Looks Too warm.
TW

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

This has always been the time period I’ve been interested in ... 17-20 that looks to be the time where a big cold shot settles in and we watch a wave trail on the southern side of the stalled front left behind .. THATS a classic look for southern snow.. I’m sticking with 17-20 being a good bet for a possible widespread winter event for the southeast

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[JLL1973]

View attachment 65122View attachment 65123

The icon and gfs both give the midsouth another snow next monday

 

[Myfrotho704_]

2 ULLs, 2 flizzards

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looking at the energy on the GFS, it was much closer to something better, the S/S energy was so close to tilting/consolidating correctly, but it gets sheared

 

[Stormlover]