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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
It would be nice to see some of the other models pick up on it
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Kinda concerning to see the euro stay steady with temps around 32-35 in cad regions, that’s to close for comfort already, we’re gonna get NAMed, no doubt about it, might be tonight’s 00z run lol
I’d be very shocked if we weren’t NAMed 
Stephenb888
Member
I’m so tired of seeing the rain snow line on the Sc/nc line. You would think we could luck up and the cold would get to me at some point.
ATLwxfan
Member
18z CMC 
NCSNOW
Member
Im [my back yard) is gonna be heavy on ice with this one. Hopefully we can get a front end thump inch maybe 2. Start seeing 1 inch qpf ill be getting ancy.
I'm not convinced the cold will hold long enough for major icing! What say you?
The medium range NAM is trending better with our second system, note the stronger confluence 
Dumping in here
Any thunder ?
Haven’t heard any
Damn we suck
I think it could, but it’s not something we’re gonna know until now-casting time. A lot will depend on how much snow is put down, if any, with that front end... that’s something that can effect temps not only were the snow cover is, but also in areas just to the south and southwest as the CAD develops and becomes stronger. Also the Euro has hinted at a mesohigh forming in SW VA... if that happens it will hold things in that much longer.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I-40 north. They can have their ice storm. 
Dang the NAM has that front end feature but there’s tons of Virga 
iGRXY
Member
DP were hovering around 20-22 degrees on the NAM as precip was starting to roll in compared to the last run where it had us in the low 30’s. Of course this run we started out around 38-39 degrees instead of the 34-35 from the previous run. I really don’t think we will know much about this system until we get through tonight’s and get snow cover on the ground and get closer to the NAMs range for temps. Which will be another day to day and a half.
NCSNOW
Member
To early to tell. Gonna have the lowest dps of the season Saturday it looks like. Precip rolls in Saturday night.Not a fan of miller bs that jump us to the delmarva. Should be able to start irioning out friday. I can handle ice, as long as i have somebwhite ground to go along with it. Nam trends on temp,dp will be interesting. RGEM was a good lick
Lmao we doubling the warm nose now ? The suck is doubled into a shitstorm 
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
It's just not going to happen. I don't know what the EURO is on. Should cave soon
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
FZRA
Kinda outside the NAM’s good range there. However Friday night and Saturday morning are getting into it’s good range and you can see there is some very low dewpoints to the north to tap into and this is with dewpoints in the teens across NC into northern SC
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Yeah that's true. I guess we will have to see what the euro presents tonight
ICON was even warmer for areas along the wedge, sigh
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Euro is going to cave very soon.
This is probably one of deals that everything doesn’t get resolved until inside 24 hours. The biggest thing that stands out to me right now though is the low dewpoints that look to be there... lowest of the season so far
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
0Z RGEM seemed pretty cold at the end of its run. Had upper 20s here Sunday morning.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
I think the GFS took a step toward the euro at 0Z. Bit colder
Woah 
iGRXY
Member
One thing that is funny to me is you have temps around 6z Sunday at freezing down in the upstate with DP at 20 degrees. But temps want to rise ever so slightly and DP sky rocket in the 30’s. That just doesn’t seem realistic to me.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Dang. This is some true arctic air on the GFS
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Holy shizzzz. This is insane. It's dry of course but still 
Lol this looks like the pattern the CFS is advertising 
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Incoming ? 
-AO is a game changer
Precip depiction isn’t a Miller A. So I’m out
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Everyone in NC missed out. It completely dried out over the mountains lol. Regardless some insanely cold air
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
This is the middle of the day. Wow. 