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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Montanasnow30
Member
Snippet from James Spann
SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY: You will be hearing lots of buzz about the weather Sunday night into Monday morning across the Deep South as the new 12Z model set today has come in colder, suggesting potential for snow over the northern third of Mississippi and Alabama. However, using ensemble model output and probabilistic outlooks, snow fans don’t need to get too excited just yet. Both the American GFS and the European ECMWF ensembles are showing only a 10-20 percent chance of one inch or more of snow with this event for now.
It is simply too early to know if there will be any significant winter weather with this system; just something to watch. A cold rain is likely for most of the state with amounts around 1/2 inch. We will have much better clarity, of course, as we get closer.
SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY: You will be hearing lots of buzz about the weather Sunday night into Monday morning across the Deep South as the new 12Z model set today has come in colder, suggesting potential for snow over the northern third of Mississippi and Alabama. However, using ensemble model output and probabilistic outlooks, snow fans don’t need to get too excited just yet. Both the American GFS and the European ECMWF ensembles are showing only a 10-20 percent chance of one inch or more of snow with this event for now.
It is simply too early to know if there will be any significant winter weather with this system; just something to watch. A cold rain is likely for most of the state with amounts around 1/2 inch. We will have much better clarity, of course, as we get closer.
ATLwxfan
Member
Stormlover
Member
He's always overly cautious. Not saying he shouldn't be, but this one has the overall setup to support it, not cold chasing rain.
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Oh wow, that’s definitely CP flow 
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Keeps getting better with each run.
It’s scary how close the 18z GFS is to putting a foot down around Montgomery.
It needs to move out of the plains in head on east to get better. I keep seeing these maps with light blues and whites over the SE with the purples and greens lin the Plains. That doesn't seem exciting.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Better than nothing and still plenty of time.
Tablesetter
At least cold air is trying to find an entry into the states. With that ridge situated where it is in Eastern Canada, there was no chance for it to drop down directly into the Eastern US. Now let’s cross our fingers and try to move it into more of an overrunning position.
Flotown
Member
Yeah he is the man....I advise listening to him grew up watching him...When he thinks its happening you will know it
Parker
Member
GEFS waking up. Didn’t have a single member with snow at one point yesterday.
Flotown
Member
Can you post huntsville please?Maybe a stupid ques but is there one for muscle shoals are??
The first couple of times that happened, it was cute.
But even I'm getting annoyed by it now. It should be someone else's turn.
Parker
Member
Flotown
Member
Thanks
SnowNiner
Member
Agreed. At least it's entering the conus. But it's not going to be really exciting until ridging off the east coast is gone, and we get a few Barney colors sitting over the south east.
Avalanche
Member
Barney, smh. I prefer Prince, but as long as its purple on maps, Im good!!!