Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
mydoortotheworld
Member
Do we remember the synoptic setup of Feb 8, 2020? Remember we only started seeing it like within 72 hours? I have a feeling that this’ll stay hidden until it gets into NAM’s range
I didn't have time to figure out how to make one of those maps, but here's the panel from the PSU Ewall site.
Given that last flat rain slider wave overperformed being driven by WAA, wouldn’t shock me either
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol now that I think about it, it would be cool to make composite maps of weenie ensemble members.
That showed up on the GFS first, then got lost, as a storm that wasn't amped, and snow only made it to Wilmington. Then the CMC came in and showed it as an NC wide even, then the NAM went crazy with the storm, and the rest is history. The Euro sucked with it, except for the two big-dog runs in the LR that got everyone's attention.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Feb 8 2020 is another classic case of over performing warm advection.
What else is new?
Good deal. Thanks buddy. My guess was we didn't get that solution with a -PNA. Appreciate it.
Why was the euro so suppressed? Did it hold back/shear out ?
Very poor handling of WAA and frontogenesis. Precip really didn't make it to NC until about 60 hours out
You did a good job calling BS on the Euro, and the UKMET with that system.
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
This should be fun
Lol damn CFS did better than the euro with that one
Picture perfect winter storm surface map. I would guess snow would be farther south and west too.
That said, I don't remember a big storm happening like that this past February.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Thanks haha sounds like I'm beating the same dead horse over & over again, but if you see warm advection, isentropic upglide, frontogenesis, &/or CAD likely be prepared for an over-performer in terms of areal coverage & intensity of precip.
ATLwxfan
Member
Temps really iffy for metro ATL on the 18th though.
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LickWx
Member
I remember it ! Not a bad storm . I had the highest totals in the county !
Pain.
mydoortotheworld
Member
Iffy temps is as on brand for Atlanta as cursed sports teams.
Mr. Golf
Member
I personally have no idea what HM is saying ?
Already a Toccoa warm bubble over a month out ?
Mr. Golf
Member
Of course if you ask a question, it gets ignored when 90% of people dont know what he means
Ah, yep, you're right. Get a 2 incher most winters. It seems harder to get 6" or more than it used to be.
Why can't people just say it's either going to be cold and snowy, or it's not, or I have no idea what's coming? ?
Well this could be interesting
Last run
This one
Last run
This one
Icon might do it 
mydoortotheworld
Member
looks WAY better. way more consolidated
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Raleigh has become the new Fayetteville! 
NoSnowATL
Member
Cold rain
Raleigh has become the new Fayetteville!
Raleigh had 39 winters reach 10" total from 1886-87 to 2004-05, an average of about one every three years. Since then, we haven't even cracked 10" for a winter total, for 17 winters in a row.
NW trend....
LickWx
Member
Raleigh has become the new Fayetteville!
What’s Fayetteville’s new median ? Like .5 inches . Fayetteville is the new CAE!
mydoortotheworld
Member
Weirdly, weatherbell maps only show 925 temps for just 6z and 18z ?
For comparison, KGSO has fared MUCH better than RDU in recent years. KGSO has cracked 10" for a winter total four times and 15" total twice since 2004-05.
LickWx
Member
I think GSO has actually overall been well above average for snowfall , particular last 5 years . Only slight decrease in means .
Raleigh has become the new Fayetteville!
What really is concerning here is that the new 30yr ('91-'20) LOWER snow-median was still boosted by the 2 big snows of January 2000 and 2002. Without those the number would be even lower.
It doesn’t make sense tbh ?
I just want to see a 12 inch snow in Raleigh once. There were many of them in the first half of the 21st century.What really is concerning here is that the new 30yr ('91-'20) LOWER snow-median was still boosted by the 2 big snows of January 2000 and 2002. Without those the number would be even lower.
Geez
