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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

This could be our only shot this winter. Need a couple favorable bounces but I don’t super hate it 0527E580-6D62-4A31-BC05-639D3D99B82E.png
 
Positive trends with building a legit PDO. Clearly see trend to classic horseshoe sst's. Will be interesting to see what the Dec PDO index comes in at.

PDO-trends.gif


As we proceed later into winter the +PDO correlation is stronger with SE trough.

PDO-correlation.gif
 
Positive trends with building a legit PDO. Clearly see trend to classic horseshoe sst's. Will be interesting to see what the Dec PDO index comes in at.

View attachment 28877


As we proceed later into winter the +PDO correlation is stronger with SE trough.

View attachment 28878

Certainly doesn’t hurt the chances of a -EPO in the future, that type of +PDO reminds me of 2014-2015 (I think that’s the correct year(s))
 
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Not even gonna post the pics (don't wanna ruin any little bit of Holiday cheer) ... but CPC has no thoughts of warming Alaska ...
 
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I was hoping someone would come on here and say they accidentally pulled the 2011-12 animation.
Ive heard several people on the other board mention the 11-12 winter. I wouldnt mind a repeat. At least no one would get their hopes up. I have fond memories of that winter.
 
This looks about right as we roll into feb, unless we get a -nao. Strangely even in the face of less than ideal models I'm concerned about January but not on the ledge like some

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Yeah. I still think January averages out near normal with a threat or two as we come to the end of January.


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