The precip frames haven’t loaded yet, but this looks interesting.
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
Nothing crazy, lots of things I would like to see changed, but nice little event across Costal SE.
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ATLwxfan
Member
Not concerned about amounts or even temps right now. We have multiple runs showing an overrunning event. Follow the trends.
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
I may not be paying close enough attention to the OP (which is probably a good thing), but that's the first time I think something has actually appeared on the operational. Comes shortly after the ridge gets beaten back big time.
Despite that, there have been some interesting members on the GEFS lately around this time period. Lets get this pattern change within about a week first!
Despite that, there have been some interesting members on the GEFS lately around this time period. Lets get this pattern change within about a week first!
Some icy members on the GEFS
GEFS probably is going to look really good.
Yep we can’t look past threats like that any threat can trend in the short range and when we’re talking about CAD events it can always trend colder and in that case can turn out to be a bigger deal than we think out of no where
I have extreme doubts for that system. No other model but a couple members on the American suite show anything, plus that is relying on HP wrapping around a low around the Great Lakes.
Yeah I was just looking over the members and I know it’s after hr 240 but there are some beastly members. Things just continue to look better let’s see how the EPS comes in it looked good earlier let’s see if they continue to get better as they figure out this progressive pattern.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
GEFS looks darn good close to the same time period.
That's the sound of me getting sucked in again on those ensembles.
That's the sound of me getting sucked in again on those ensembles.
Agreed. Although I do believe that preliminary system will have big ramifications on the one behind it. I’d like to see areas as far south as VA get in on some ZR with wave #1
Only bc I know you guys want to see it..Ollie’s maps will be much prettier 
I would take that and cash out the winter. LmaoNothing crazy, lots of things I would like to see changed, but nice little event across Costal SE.
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Yes although chance is low all I am saying is we can’t lose sight of it cause sometimes these type of systems like to sneak up on us as we approach them
Just took a peak at the Gfs ensembles for wave two ... good lord much more agreement there that a large scale system could be effecting the south east ... that looks like it could be the fun one we are going to be heavily tracking in the next week ... the big take away is the amount of support for a large system at the same time period grew substantially I would say
Usually a system conducive of wintry precip in Central TX and LA translates well downstream for the Carolinas for whatever reason.. if only this weren’t 10+ days out still...
GEFS Mean:
Graphics 1 and 2 (Include Sleet) 330hrs
More realistic snowfall Mean, that takes in only Snow.
Graphics 1 and 2 (Include Sleet) 330hrs
More realistic snowfall Mean, that takes in only Snow.
Also, I finally have hires maps from 06z’s run. I plan on posting it in my archive thread tomorrow when I get a chance.
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Looks like the Canadian model was heading for glory for a lot of us in the southeast at the end of the run. Storm forming in Texas and plenty of cold air in place for a lot of us.
