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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

SD said:
Not sure what got into the 12z cmc suite but there are a few members in the 996ish range near Wilmington Thursday morning while the closest gefs member was 1005. Eps should be interesting to see of there is any validity to the stronger father north idea
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Which storm are we talking about
 
SD said:
Not sure what got into the 12z cmc suite but there are a few members in the 996ish range near Wilmington Thursday morning while the closest gefs member was 1005. Eps should be interesting to see of there is any validity to the stronger father north idea
Click to expand...
EPS out?
 
Tomorrow looks very snow showery starting near 6z in the mtns (particularly Boone, NC). I wouldn’t discount a small chance of a mixed snow shower before lunch time in the western piedmont if we get to decouple tonight and moisture hits quick. Notice I left out most of the foothills, I believe a band forms just to the east. So maybe a small chance exists for Winston-Statesville areas or nearby. Otherwise, cold rain in the 30s.
 
My chase envelope includes the Catskills and while I would love to see a sub 970 occluding in to the LI Sound, doubts for next weekend starting early and only growing. Mid week kinda remind me of an event in 2014 or 2015, historians will need to keep me honest, forecasted as a chance of -RN and snow started in Greenville mid morning, snowed all day with about 3”. A low kicked offshore which kept the forcing and lift going through central and eastern Carolina. Cold was borderline and we went from nothing to Advisory pretty quick.
 
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