Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

[KyloG]

EPS looks great day 11+.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Well the MA forum is not the SE forum. What's bad for them may not be all bad for us. I'm looking at it right now and I see 3 types of solutions, 1 being like the Euro within 100 miles, 3 nice looking storms down in almost ideal SE storm locations, and a few way OTS. The other ones must not show any sort of low. Again, we have time.

Here’s the map I was referencing. I should have been more specific. Not sure this is good for anybody. But you’re right, plenty of time

 

[KyloG]

Definitely a colder run and would suspect the snow maps will be pretty good. Even with the day 8-9 deal not as good on the EPS.

 

[Thor]

Certainly evidence of some blocking showing up and its not in the super long term

It's has been infuriating that the NAO flipped to positive exactly Dec 1st and hasn't looked back. But atleast there is some reason for optimism now.

Sure do like this look reminds me of the storm last year that never quite made it to land. This has a better chance to come inland.

 

[KyloG]

That sure was a cold run

 

[Ilovesnow28]

That sure was a cold run

View attachment 30702

Hey @KyloG can you post one for Tuscaloosa

 

[KyloG]

Hey @KyloG can you post one for Tuscaloosa

Few other cities

 

[MichaelJ]

The latest runs of the GEFS and the CFSV2 both show the MJO moving heavily from 7 into 8 and a few members show it progressing into 1. I will feel a lot more confident if the ECMWF/EPS follows suit. Regardless, it seems we will have a shot of BN cold and possibly wintry weather for up to a 30 day period

 

[Ethan80963]

CFS mjo looks really good

 

[Stormlover]

haven't seen both of the 6-10 and 8-14 look like this in a long time

 

[Ollie Williams]

@Jimmy Hypocracy
Euro has some snow in your backyard

 

[Ollie Williams]

The bleaklies this run aren't bad from late January through the 10th of February.

 

[Parker]

Anybody have the EPS snowfall map?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Anybody have the EPS snowfall map?

 

[pcbjr]

2 days in a row; 1 without human input and 1 with; let's see if we get a trend ...

 

[Meteorologist1999]

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Did the snow mean increased from 0z?
Also what are the probabilities of an Inch of snow ?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Did the snow mean increased from 0z?
Also what are the probabilities of an Inch of snow ?

I'd say it decreased, but overall about the same

12z Probs

 

[SnowNiner]

EPS looks great day 11+.

View attachment 30694

That looks really good, thanks! Perhaps it's starting to see the high amp 7/8 in the long term; trying to pop an Aleutian low and alaskan ridge finally. I like the split flow signature showing up. Man, if we could just get that within 7-10.

I feel like I'm on a treadmill chasing a carrot!

 

[SnowNiner]

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Curious, I would have expected a better mean coverage with such a nice h5 setup long term.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Interesting...