GeorgiaGirl
Member
Euro is interesting so far. The wave of interest looks further south and is becoming a ULL.
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
Euro honestly is looking a bit off for sure but obviously it’s ensembles we really want to see
My only problem with the Euro is that the high pressure moved in too quickly, otherwise not a bad look at H5. Just need more blocking over BC and the trough off the EC to strengthen.
Trough looks too far east at this time, but in my experience usually corrects NWMy only problem with the Euro is that the high pressure moved in too quickly, otherwise not a bad look at H5
wow
Member
Euro similar to GFS with the setup at 240. HP over the SE with low developing over the NW GOM, precip building over TX.
Quite the zonal look at D10 on the Euro. HP is ok, but doesn't look all that cold to me. Looking at 850 anoms, there's a transient cold shot days 8 and 9 and then AN looks take over. Meh. Will probably change though.
wow
Member
Looks fine to me at this time... low heights off the coast will force the storm south with HP building as the PJ wave rolls thru.
That Western ridge will build after the kicker wave moves east.
That Western ridge will build after the kicker wave moves east.
The Day 10 Euro has been changing for the last 3 runs. Best to look at Ensembles until you 5 days out. Just my opinion.
wow
Member
Look at height anomaly chart. Temps not super cold but it's cold enough.. we'll see!
No way to sugarcoat that. Its hideous. And doesn't even look to be heading decent.
GFS and Euro both show too many waves hitting Canada, breaking down the nice western ridge and making it too progressive. Hopefully the ensembles will be more correct.
I'd like to see the Euro pump that EPO and keep the PNA positive, which would allow the PV to sink a little closer. Don't need squash city, but we do need something to bring the cold core closer. Coupled with the active southern stream, it would just be a matter of time, which I think is going to be the case anyway.
D
Deleted member 418
Guest
But as he said it’ll change on the next run.... no reason to get so hung up on one run
ATLwxfan
Member
Maybe we aren’t giving the GFS enough credit for tapping the breaks on the cold. I mean clearly this degree of AN temps are nearly over.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
From the early looks, the EPS will be trash. smh
12z
00z
12z
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wow
Member
Yeah looks warm after the wave.. would be marginal temps verbatim. At that time the 0 line cuts down to NC, freezing sfc temps to FL. But in the end this is all so far out, I'm just pleased the pattern continues to show up.
wow
Member
Looks like it is consistent with the setup. Precip maps will all over at this range.