Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

[wow]

12z Canadian squashes the first wave but looks very nice thereafter with a split flow setup at 240

 

[Ollie Williams]

While the P-type maps haven't loaded, the 12zz CMC looks good at H5

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z Canadian squashes the first wave but looks very nice thereafter with a split flow setup at 240

Too suppressed. Not a bad look

 

[wow]

While the P-type maps haven't loaded, the 12zz CMC looks good at H5

Gets crushed.. check the meteocentre site for earliest publication of the CMC. But it's the wave right after that looks like a big dog.

 

[Storm5]

12z cmc

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[Metwannabe]

Give me that LP with a 1040 HP in that spot 10 days out, yep I ain't worried.....

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[Ollie Williams]

As @wow mentioned, the CMC at the end of the run looks like a big dog waiting to happen.

 

[NCCWOP9077]

12z GEFS

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[Six Mile Wx]

 

[deltadog03]

Give me that LP with a 1040 HP in that spot 10 days out, yep I ain't worried.....

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I agree. Way to early to be specific, but that look with that cold air available.... that’s probably freezing or frozen all the way to me with that look.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Squashed is good this far out. Idc how good the pattern is we know 9 times out of 10 the s/e will be on the fringe (namely GA-NC cad zones).

 

[Six Mile Wx]

 

[KyloG]

The CMC matches up with the Atlanta big dog composite.

 

[Stormdoc]

The CMC matches up with the Atlanta big dog composite.

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Pretty close. Of course, a number of those storms turned out pretty well for RDU too

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

The CMC matches up with the Atlanta big dog composite.

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Everyone should be paying attention to the H5 pattern at this range. Not an individual storm or even an ensemble snow output. How's the GEFS look at H5?

 

[accu35]

I've noticed on this time frame of the cmc is what the gefs is picking up on back in Texas with 3 members showing up. This is before the main gulf low.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Patiently waiting for the 12z suite of the European model ???

 

[Ollie Williams]

The JMA looks interesting at the end of it's run

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Euro has a much stronger high pressure coming in than the Gfs

 

[wow]

A most excellent split flow pattern showing up on the Euro. Confluence to be developing over the NE after low wraps up, juiced up STJ wave over SW at 204 hrs