Cary_Snow95
Member
And no coastal after the NY storm. Instead it cuts. I cant help but just laugh at this point
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Pattern January 2017 Discussion
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
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Brick Tamland
Guest
SD link said:We will be rolling into a new year and month soon. The GFS gives us hope, the rest of the modeling says "lol yeah, no"
Will we get to see this guy during January?
or will we all look like this by the end of January
I hope the SE ridge doesn't bounce back all month
Perhaps the SE ridge can be defeated by this guy
I'm hoping for some Hammer time.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
You can't depend on the models past five days. All the indicies and patterns that people looked at from the past to give us a good chance at winter storms don't seem to apply here anymore. As long as temps stay normal and we still get some shots of below normal then we still have a chance at getting a winter storm. That's about all you can say for winter here. As long as we don't go way above normal and things stay active, we should have just as good of a chance as any other time to get a storm here. I think we score at least one good one in January.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Give them 12 hours and the models will change again. No need for doom and gloom yet. I'll take 3, 9, and 17.
The EPS MJO prog has shifted. Instead of going toward the left side of the circle, it now has it going near the middle of the circle. That's not a bad place (as in favoring SE warmth; it still has averaged out a little colder than normal), but it isn't the most favorable left side of circle, which has on average been the coldest.
Another thing: the models have obviously recently been strongly cold biased in the SE US, especially the GFS/GEFS. Be wary of this as we go forward and hope for cold so as to prevent disappointments.
Another thing: the models have obviously recently been strongly cold biased in the SE US, especially the GFS/GEFS. Be wary of this as we go forward and hope for cold so as to prevent disappointments.
Storm5
Member
not bad
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Storm5
Member
good lord the 12z cmc was atrocious
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Storm5
Member
Re: January 2017 Discussion
Holy hell the euro gets block happy this run.....Goes along with the gefs which was block happy as well. Ridge bridge for the win!!
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Holy hell the euro gets block happy this run.....Goes along with the gefs which was block happy as well. Ridge bridge for the win!!
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Re: January 2017 Discussion
And a little +PNA?? Looking juicy! A Christmas miracle!Storm5 link said:Holy hell the euro gets block happy this run.....Goes along with the gefs which was block happy as well. Ridge bridge for the win!!
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whatalife
Moderator
Yeah baby! yeah! HAHA!Storm5 link said:Holy hell the euro gets block happy this run.....Goes along with the gefs which was block happy as well. Ridge bridge for the win!!
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Lol merry Christmas from the euro
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Storm5
Member
we must have been really good this year, it totally obliterated the southeast ridgeSD link said:
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we must have been really good this year, it totally obliterated the southeast ridgeStorm5 link said:
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[/quote]
So be good for goodness sake
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we must have been really good this year, it totally obliterated the southeast ridgeSD link said:
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[/quote]
So be good for goodness sake
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[/quote]
Waiting on Euro ensembles to play Grinch!?
Somebody more tech savvy than I, see if you can get Bigstick profile pic into JBs bathtub!!?
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Brick Tamland
Guest
That's why I don't get the doom and gloom. The models keep changing day to day. Tells me things are pretty active, and as long as that happens there is a chance of scoring a good winter storm. Can't help but like what the Euro and GFS ensembles are showing.
Storm5
Member
Re: January 2017 Discussion
haha merry christmas from the euro control . widespread SE winter Storm after new years.....To bad the Control sucks
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haha merry christmas from the euro control . widespread SE winter Storm after new years.....To bad the Control sucks
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Storm5
Member
Re: January 2017 Discussion
wanna know why the euro went merry Christmas on us??? Cause it's long range sucks!!!!! Just above the CMC and BEHIND THE GFS in the 6-10 day period. Yes BEHIND THE GFS !! Holy hell. No denying that the EPS is the king of all extended guidance
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wanna know why the euro went merry Christmas on us??? Cause it's long range sucks!!!!! Just above the CMC and BEHIND THE GFS in the 6-10 day period. Yes BEHIND THE GFS !! Holy hell. No denying that the EPS is the king of all extended guidance
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Well, hopefully the Euro is onto something this time. The GFS ensembles were showing the same idea.
Storm5
Member
Re: January 2017 Discussion
12z eps supports the general idea of blocking that the euro had. It's weaker but the blocking idea has merit . Gonna need some ridging help out west or a well timed vort
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12z eps supports the general idea of blocking that the euro had. It's weaker but the blocking idea has merit . Gonna need some ridging help out west or a well timed vort
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whatalife
Moderator
Ain't nothing but a thing!Storm5 link said:
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