Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

[Carolina Sky]

No they are really 2 different waves. Ultimate win for us is to catch some WAA snow Monday morning then something with the possible coastal late Tuesday night into Wednesday

Feel like we need the coastal low to work out to really get anything worthwhile here.

 

[Branch]

Cold air what I've been saying, But I was put down and told Cold Air wasn't the issue across upstate

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Cold air def a problem for Atl too even if there is precip.

 

[Chazwin]

Cold air what I've been saying, But I was put down and told Cold Air wasn't the issue across upstate

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Just looking at the soundings from the upstate, it appears that if there is precip Monday night it should be snow. Even without precip, 850s very close if not already below freezing and if the overrunning sets, just the cooling of the column caused by overrunning would get it below freezing.

 

[Chazwin]

Feel like we need the coastal low to work out to really get anything worthwhile here.

I think for anyone east of the foothills to see anything other than some flurries, it’s going to need to be the coastal that provides it IMO.

 

[snowplow]

18z RGEM hammers N Bama

 

[SD]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This GFS run looks like the pause to the south trend. slightly north so far

 

[Tarheel1]

18Z HRRR SNOW
View attachment 142085


Sim radar from 25-48hrs
View attachment 142087

Good lord! Memphis gets a foot with that look! ??

 

[Storm5]

18z RGEM gives central Alabama 6-9 hours of light ZR / sleet

 

[jrips27]

This GFS run looks like the pause to the south trend. slightly north so far

Yep

 

[Storm5]

Gfs hammers northern miss Alabama again .

Second batch of precip coming up from the south . Most aggressive gfs run yet with this idea like the cmc , nam , RGEM have

 

[ynot]

18z Gfs adjusted back north slightly

 

[SD]

Feel like we need the coastal low to work out to really get anything worthwhile here.

3k has a lot of precip over us but its never more than virga
View attachment 011324.mp4

 

[Flotown]

3k has a lot of precip over us but its never more than virga
View attachment 142096

can you share this back west please

 

[NCSNOW]

Not sure i buy this

Triple point low on nam

 

[Storm5]

KBMX talks about possible winter storm watch expansion down to the i-20 corridor simply based on potential impacts of any ice and winter weather advisories as far south as Selma to Montgomery

 

[accu35]

Ice ice baby

 

[SD]

can you share this back west please

View attachment 011324.mp4

3k

 

[NWMSGuy]

Memphis doesn’t mention much in the way of the Ice/Sleet showing in the short term models. They also mention the heaviest of snow will be south of I-40 in their afternoon AFD.

 

[Flotown]

View attachment 142097

3k

what model is this?