Storm5
Member
These cmc totals are gonna be nuts . It’s trying to really crank. Gfs had 10 hours plus of snow in Huntsville, cmc is gonna have even longer
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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
So which model do you believe?? Heck it almost like pick the model showing the most in your backyard. lol
I figure Huntsville will be putting most of North Alabama of winter storm watches in their morning package.
Starting tomorrow 12z some of the short range models will be coming in good range and will see what happens.
Another trend I'm noticing in all guidance is the core of the TPV is trending south each run. This probably partly responsible for some of the south trends seen overall, but could also really change things for further east areas if this could continue.
also not to be a buzzkill but if you're in MS/AL and the nam spit out sleet for you, and you think it's overdoing things... i feel like this meme
seen a lot of forecasts go sour from people not respecting the nam's thermals
seen a lot of forecasts go sour from people not respecting the nam's thermals
Will this make the precip trend further south for the western areas of the southeast?
Storm5
Member
CMC ice
Interesting 
I don’t know how many times…also not to be a buzzkill but if you're in MS/AL and the nam spit out sleet for you, and you think it's overdoing things... i feel like this meme
seen a lot of forecasts go sour from people not respecting the nam's thermals
IMO - if this trend continues then more south trends overall will continue.
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
That would be lights out
Dang, it amazing with the swath of snow that the GFS and CMC has. Almost identical.
GEM really almost got it there
JLL1973
Member
Seems to be a slight adjustment southward on all the models tonight
I could that being a possibility considering this is an arctic airmass that’s coming in.
Models really elongating the energy, which is a right direction for areas east, now add the cherry on top and tilt it
Storm5
Member
I honestly think a blend wouldn’t be a bad idea at the moment. Even with a more positive tilt trough the gfs you would think the gfs would still have a larger precip field like the rgem and cmc have. But not apples to apples at H5 . Still being 54 hours plus out so much can go wrong lol . So get out your lucky coin , flip it and call heads or tails
Storm5
Member
That’s the thing just a little more tilt and it’s a bigger deal for 80 percent of the board