Brent
Member
I could be wrong but honestly I still like where we're sitting being bullseyed last week did us no good
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January 11th-12th Southern Slider
- Thread starter DadOfJax
- Start date
I could be wrong but honestly I still like where we're sitting being bullseyed last week did us no good
Was about to write this one off completely but then notice something trying to nose in from the NE 
JLL1973
Member
True.
The precip map was disappointing, but overall the GFS was still a step in the right direction.
As long as we can continue the trend towards a deeper closed ULL and the trough taking a neutral tilt, that's good.
Brent
Member
I mean look at how much it's come north since yesterday as far as the thermals go well I've heard from some local people it's the warmest model and if the rates are heavy enough it won't matter
I just hope it doesn't come too north lol
RVD
Meteorology Student
Why do we suck so bad with surface temps this year? Maybe I just have a bad memory, but I don’t remember tracking terribly many storms in the past that were below freezing at 850 but warm at the surface.
My worst nightmare would be us getting whiffed while Corsicana gets a foot of snow.
Getting missed to the north and west so far is one thing, but getting missed to the south would just be dark sided.
Brent
Member
Now I will say part of me is still skeptical about a real actual snow here for one reason... It's been 5 long years lol
Oh totally I know I got pretty annoyed last week but nothing tops for me watching that snow south of us in 17/18
Oh totally I know I got pretty annoyed last week but nothing tops for me watching that snow south of us in 17/18
RVD
Meteorology Student
Anyway I noted the best cold will be in the western part of the board last week, and it sure looks like they’re set to get the best shot with this one IMO. Not very confident for GA and the Carolinas
You can’t get temps below freezing with this type of low track. Not in a million years will it happen.
Yeah, in the Carolinas outside the mountains we need that tracking over the FL panhandle around Jacksonville or at least Savannah. Not so for AL/MS/TN, though.
Banana high and all. Would be a shame if this one goes to waste but that’s looking like a real possibility right now. *sad face emoji*
Brent
Member
Can it just be Sunday already
Yeah. They don’t need the same angle of cold that we need. I feel like those guys have more ways to score.
This is about how I picture this storm would be. But the snow about 75-100 more south. 
Brent
Member
A daytime snow would be so much fun just saying lol
Even my last couple chases were at night
The last daytime snowstorm might have been February 2010.
Montanasnow30
Member
Looks like I may need to snow chase to Dallas hey Brent do you know any great hotels in Dallas to snow chase too? ?
Brent
Member
Oh my speaking of February 2010 lmao
Montanasnow30
Member
Ok Let me get my snow chasing funds back together looks like I’m back in business Dallas here I come lol
Brent
Member
Don't jinx it lol ?
That 500mb look, combined with the placement of the arctic high and the thermals, is about as good as we can get.
Not even February 2010 had this good of a synoptic setup.
Brent
Member
It's been mentioned a lot by some local people also February 2010 was supposed to be an inch or two lol
I was a big skeptic at first but I mean this seems like a perfect setup if there ever was one again
Nice increase for miss and I20/59 northward in Alabama on new gefs..
Brent
Member
That looks amazing here
Ron Burgundy
Member
Really wish you’d change your handle to SouthTXwx so I won’t keep getting suckered in. ?
Another thing to watch is whether we can get that low to do a sharp cut northward from the Gulf as it get pulled back under the closed ULL. FWD mentioned that it's a possibility in their AFD, and the GEM almost did it.
If that's happens, talk about gravy on top of whatever else.
JLL1973
Member
New gfs and cmc runs are both hits for the midsouth area
In theory they do, but we actually average significantly more snow than those areas. We tend to get bigger storms.
Ukie's looking better too...
NWMSGuy
Member
Brent
Member
Is this real life lol