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January 11th-12th Southern Slider

Yeah, but it’s the only model that’s giving it any attention, and is the worse run yet.
I’m not to worried yet, this is almost reminding me of the first system, even with the first one the EPS had a few bad runs but overall got better over time
What I don’t like is how far NW it is
 
The 6z GFS looks much better at H5. This run actually had a closer look to yesterdays 12z run at H5. Maybe we can start trending back to that sort of solution. The 6z GEFS had solutions from sheared out waves to amped up lows. IMO models are going to keep throwing out every solution until the Thursday-Friday system is over.
gfs_z500_vort_us_fh132_trend.gifgfs_z500a_us_fh132_trend-2.gif
 
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The 6z GFS looks much better at H5. This run actually had a closer look to yesterdays 12z run at H5. Maybe we can start trending back to that sort of solution. The 6z GEFS had solutions from sheared out waves to amped up lows. IMO models are going to keep throwing out every solution until the Thursday-Friday system is over.
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Yeah I think the Euro solution is more likely and the GFS will play catch up. But surface temps like usual are a problem. We really need some colder air to work with and hopefully mid month provides that.
 
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