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January 11th-12th Southern Slider

I’m surprised there isint more moisture on the northwest side of this storm
 

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Honestly I still like where we're sitting being bullseyed last week did us no good

True.

The precip map was disappointing, but overall the GFS was still a step in the right direction.

As long as we can continue the trend towards a deeper closed ULL and the trough taking a neutral tilt, that's good.
 
True.

The precip map was disappointing, but overall the GFS was still a step in the right direction.

As long as we can continue the trend towards a deeper closed ULL and the trough taking a neutral tilt, that's good.

I mean look at how much it's come north since yesterday as far as the thermals go well I've heard from some local people it's the warmest model and if the rates are heavy enough it won't matter

I just hope it doesn't come too north lol
 
I mean look at how much it's come north since yesterday as far as the thermals go well I've heard from some local people it's the warmest model and if the rates are heavy enough it won't matter

I just hope it doesn't come too north lol

My worst nightmare would be us getting whiffed while Corsicana gets a foot of snow.

Getting missed to the north and west so far is one thing, but getting missed to the south would just be dark sided.
 
Now I will say part of me is still skeptical about a real actual snow here for one reason... It's been 5 long years lol

My worst nightmare would be us getting whiffed while Corsicana gets a foot of snow.

Getting missed to the north and west so far is one thing, but getting missed to the south would just be dark sided.

Oh totally I know I got pretty annoyed last week but nothing tops for me watching that snow south of us in 17/18
 
Why do we suck so bad with surface temps this year? Maybe I just have a bad memory, but I don’t remember tracking terribly many storms in the past that were below freezing at 850 but warm at the surface.
I don’t think that would actually happen, but I’m sure there’s some piping hot warm nose at 750 mb or something, anyways, that doesn’t show up in the main maps.
 
You can’t get temps below freezing with this type of low track. Not in a million years will it happen.View attachment 63794
Yeah, in the Carolinas outside the mountains we need that tracking over the FL panhandle around Jacksonville or at least Savannah. Not so for AL/MS/TN, though.
 
Banana high and all. Would be a shame if this one goes to waste but that’s looking like a real possibility right now. *sad face emoji*
 
Yeah, in the Carolinas outside the mountains we need that tracking over the FL panhandle around Jacksonville or at least Savannah. Not so for AL/MS/TN, though.
Yeah. They don’t need the same angle of cold that we need. I feel like those guys have more ways to score.
 
That 500mb look, combined with the placement of arctic high and the thermals, is about a good as we can get.

Not even February 2010 had this good of a synoptic setup.

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It's been mentioned a lot by some local people also February 2010 was supposed to be an inch or two lol

I was a big skeptic at first but I mean this seems like a perfect setup if there ever was one again
 
It's been mentioned a lot by some local people also February 2010 was supposed to be an inch or two lol

I was a big skeptic at first but I mean this seems like a perfect setup if there ever was one again

Another thing to watch is whether we can get that low to do a sharp cut northward from the Gulf as it get pulled back under the closed ULL. FWD mentioned that it's a possibility in their AFD, and the GEM almost did it.

If that's happens, talk about gravy on top of whatever else.
 
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