Clem282340
Member
Are the temps and dew points colder this run
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Jan 30-Feb 2 2021 ❄️ Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Nomanslandva
Member
That little middle finger of mix going into Roa is right over my house. bet it will be right and earlier. I mix earlier than anyone else I know around here.
NCSNOW
Member
I'll be test firing the generator if this is showing up tommorow morning
NCSNOW
Member
0z Euro
0z Canadian Global
0z Canadian Global
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
NWS blend of models early take on this event. I expect these numbers to increase significantly as dispersion decreases with decreasing range. GSO and points north and west better hope for more IP
packfan98
Moderator
How did the 6z euro suite trend? The midatdlantic crew was not happy with it. Looks like they are losing the capture and the big totals for the second part of the storm. Wasn’t sure if the suppression they were talking about helped us any with temps and further south with the world yet weather.
We haven't had a good one in years. Definitely not buying those amounts of 1.41 of ice. Be nice to have snow then a coating of ice on top
They still look great for a 6-8" event...but you can see it's heavier in central VA now.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
My friend in Southern Delaware will be very happy with this map
NCHighCountryWX
Member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2016
- Messages
- 532
- Reaction score
- 1,466
Read the GSP Area Forecast Discussion and the WPC discussion snd snow/ice maps
Neither have anything of significance in North Carolina outside of primarily back side NW flow snow in the mountains
Neither have anything of significance in North Carolina outside of primarily back side NW flow snow in the mountains
Even if that happened verbatim, 1.41” of QPF wouldn’t translate to anywhere close to 1.41” of freezing rain. Maybe 0.5-0.75”, tops (which is still bad, obviously).
I’m going to be kind of angry if Ji gets 18-24”. That’ll just make this winter suck even more.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
LickWx
Member
I'm rooting for it to shift north so that DC is on the cold rain line personally. Wilmington will be in the 60s during this event, I want some of that, please. Much better than a bitter 36-degree rain.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Gotta get a snowpack to the north to help bring down cold to NC !
iGRXY
Member
Our vort is definitely south of 6z and 0z runs. Confluence is further east however but temps seem to be colder through 33.
iGRXY
Member
Temps are definitely running 2-3 degrees colder through 21z Saturday from the previous 3 runs but lets see how that translates. Vort iwas in Nebraska the last 3 runs but is now almost moving from Northeastern OK to Southwestern Missouri.
It's also faster this run from the previous.
It's also faster this run from the previous.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Tarheelwx
Member
Which model run is this of the euro, and do you have a 6z euro map for ice?
TW
TW
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
3k NAM much colder at 6Z Sunday
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I can't wait to sit through 33 and rain. Much better than 31 or 32 and rain though
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
12z NAMs coming in now
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
iGRXY
Member
3K NAM much colder and holds temps around 33-34 in the upstate which is a step towards a big issue.
Bannerdude
Member
12z NAM shifts the freezing line 25-50 miles NW in the NC Piedmont
Clem282340
Member
What are the dew points looking like
LickWx
Member
? It looks warmer to me
iGRXY
Member
Looks better around our neck of the woods.
I predict the track of the ice will be exactly the same as the last system, and the several before that. It really just seems to set up that way. I think that some of GSP get ice, NE to GSO. Anybody SW gets fringed.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
12km Nam is much warmer aloft
How is the Nam coming in much colder and warmer?
LickWx
Member
Its coming in warmer lol, as someone mentioned things shifted NW
I'm pulling for you guys/gals to my west since you missed out on the last one, here's to hoping for more ip and less zr
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I know I'm not in NC but the temp on the name has been ticking down degree by degree here. 35 this run vs 37 last night. A couple degrees colder and we could have ice. And it holds the entire event to at that temp.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Should we trust Nam with CAD at this point?! it’s the only model here in Roanoke that is giving me significant icing. Not to mention 3km gives weak precip.
LickWx
Member
12k NAM has the 50s just to the east and southeast of me, 20 miles or so. Ouch, sound right though. CAD following the Coastal plain/piedmont border perfectly.