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Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

Picked up about .5 inches in Roanoke. We missed the main precip just to our south unfortunately. Although the roads are very very icy.
 
BelmontWX79 said:
Most definitely. I was the first to pick up on this and the new version seemed the most consistent. As far as overblown totals go thats a product of the limitations in the algorithms used to convert QPF into snow totals not the actual model itself.
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One thing I’d note is that the 1”+ QPF it was putting out for a lot of NC didn’t quite materialize, either. Looks like RDU got 0.69”. You know the drill, overpeform on QPF all year, but when it comes to winter storms, it’s always going to come in drier.
 
Feel pretty good about 2.5” here, measured around 7, a little higher on the car tops and not to far removed from a 2.75 spotter ob. Picked up 0.25” liquid before changeover around 2, weather station is still stuck on that 0.25, interested to see it go up today as it melts.

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To show you how much spread there was, this is from my buddy who lives in Reidsville. I thought they would get a lot more than what I saw.
 
I have a question for some of the experts on here. I live near a small lake, and I swear every storm the area right around the lake gets less snow. Today driving to work (south from Garner) there was signifigantly more snow coverage for a while, and then it began to lessen the further south I went. My yard got partial coverage, but areas a few min south were totally covered and even had some slush on the the roads. When we have storms that are very marginal on temps, is it possible for the lake to hold in some heat in a very localized area that would cut into snow totals? Or is it just random differences in snow totals?
 
superjames1992 said:
One thing I’d note is that the 1”+ QPF it was putting out for a lot of NC didn’t quite materialize, either. Looks like RDU got 0.69”. You know the drill, overpeform on QPF all year, but when it comes to winter storms, it’s always going to come in drier.
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It did WS back this way. unfortunately it was to warm
 
uncjibble said:
I have a question for some of the experts on here. I live near a small lake, and I swear every storm the area right around the lake gets less snow. Today driving to work (south from Garner) there was signifigantly more snow coverage for a while, and then it began to lessen the further south I went. My yard got partial coverage, but areas a few min south were totally covered and even had some slush on the the roads. When we have storms that are very marginal on temps, is it possible for the lake to hold in some heat in a very localized area that would cut into snow totals? Or is it just random differences in snow totals?
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The water in the lake is warmer and I believe that cuts down on totals near the lake. Places around the Pasquotank River in Pasquotank and Camden Counties (NC) have the same thing occur during snows unless the air temperature is super low and the snowfall is heavy.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Wonder how much snow they got up there. Man..
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They said it looked like 4-5, I saw official report of 5.5 in Granville county.... looks like the last minute Warning area actually met warning criteria
 
metwannabe said:
They said it looked like 4-5, I saw official report of 5.5 in Granville county.... looks like the last minute Warning area actually met warning criteria
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Yeah they only need 3" in 12 hours to meet warning criteria, technically Wake County would have met it, albeit barely thanks to the NE side closest to Franklin, some near 3" reports in/around Zebulon-Wake Forest
 
tramadoc said:
The water in the lake is warmer and I believe that cuts down on totals near the lake. Places around the Pasquotank River in Pasquotank and Camden Counties (NC) have the same thing occur during snows unless the air temperature is super low and the snowfall is heavy.
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Thanks, I've always suspected that was the case as it seems to make sense, but I wasnt sure if it could actually make a difference or not.
 
Ended up with around 1.4” in west Cary. I’d give the storm an A- here. Totals weren’t surprising, basically ended up with what NWS and many of yall were forecasting. The heavy rates and thundersnow easily bump the grade up. Not often do I hear two rumbles of thunder in one snowstorm!
 
LukeBarrette said:
Picked up about .5 inches in Roanoke. We missed the main precip just to our south unfortunately. Although the roads are very very icy.
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What part of Roanoke are you in? I live in the Cave Spring area and we picked up around 2 1/2 inches here. Roads were snow covered as well.
 
Shaggy said:
one of the fastest changeovers ever for me.It was raining and around 2am I started hearing pingers on the window. It was pretty loud and then 8 minutes later it got quiet and it was all snow. Thats 8 minutes!!
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Yep that’s what happened here yesterday. Only got maybe a half inch but some very heavy snowfall with temps well above freezing at onset. It was 3pm in the afternoon but if at night would have definitely picked up a little more.
 
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