Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

[superjames1992]

Just got NAM’d by both GFSes. Interesting.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Lol
View attachment 68066

View attachment 68068

GFS and V16 look very similar, too.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I really don’t understand why the NAM/GFS is so different

 

[SimeonNC]

Uhhhh ?! View attachment 68069

Just 10-20 miles more south pls

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Just 10-20 miles more south pls

With the way it's going it wouldn't surprise me! At least the gfs lol

 

[SD]

I really don’t understand why the NAM/GFS is so different

Boom boom
Nap nap

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

09z RAP FWIW

 

[KyloG]

I hate the GFS and the new one....trolling the heck out of us.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Boom boomView attachment 68070
Nap nap
View attachment 68071

these models are from the same area yet they disagree this much, lol

 

[Metwannabe]

I really don’t understand why the NAM/GFS is so different

Now why are they handling this differently I don't know

 

[Rain Cold]

What's the snow map from the parade look like?

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Now why are they handling this differently I don't know

View attachment 68077

I really want the gfs to be right but I'm gonna have to lead more toward the nam. The nam is a short range model. The gfs is not

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Boom boomView attachment 68070
Nap nap
View attachment 68071

Yeah, it's pretty much the location of where the forcing along the front in the 700/850 hPa levels set up. NAM has it off-shore. GFS has it deep in NC. Crazy differences this close to the event.

 

[iGRXY]

GFS/GFS para has pretty good snow getting down into the northern metro area of CLT

 

[Shaggy]

So this begs the question.........we had good runs a week ago for this timeframe with some decent amounts......wouldnt call them big dogs but solid 6 inch members on the ensembles and op runs.

Is this a situation like we've seen before where the models lose the system in the mid range only to bring it back at crunch time in the short range? The last 72 hour of trends have all been improving just not to the degree of the Gfs.

 

[Metwannabe]

What's the snow map from the parade look like?

Parade??

 

[LukeBarrette]

Does anyone know what to expect LOL!! 0 or 3 inches up here in Roanoke. Gotta love it.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Geeeez GEFS

 

[Rain Cold]

Parade??

Lol autocorrect thinks para should be parade.

 

[Fountainguy97]

To be fair the Rgem matches the gfs with qpf but it’s just a lot warmer.
Looks like gfs family and rgem vs the rest.