Even James is on the band wagon of the snow. That is impressive to see him join in.
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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Even James is on the band wagon of the snow. That is impressive to see him join in.
AI with a classic
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here's the latest Euro Weeklies. Best look that we've seen. Pattern looks to break down around 1/20. Here's the 32 day snow mean:
And here's the best 7 day period:
The bottom image is just insane. I had to wipe my glasses a few times to make sure I wasnt seeing things. There are so many entire winters where we don’t get anything close to that, much to less a 7 day period.
rburrel2
Member
And the temps during the system on the AI
This is the stuff dreams are made of
This is the stuff dreams are made of
Forevertothee
Member
rburrel2
Member
Euro ai also has freezing rain into NC now with the first system. And shifted the low pressure like 500 miles south. We may be cooking on both threats tonight.
With those low surface temps the rates would be high. Here's the (liquid) 48 hr QPF:
Yep. This is why you can't consider something a clipper, cutter or dry northwest flow 200 + hours out when you have a suppressive -NAO already established. I've watched the EC AI do these shifts with other systems already this year, so not a big surprise to me if it does keep trending southward.
iGRXY
Member
Looking at the Euro AI run, between 0.6-0.75” of liquid fell into temps in the mid 20’s imby. Using 15:1 ratio minimum you’re looking at 9-12” …
Why wait for week 2 in January when we already have this established? I like to cash in my chips as soon as the pay window opens!
There are times to wait and there are times to go all in. It's time to be greedy. If we can steal one on the front end, let's go.
Lot's of possibilities for all of these threats. The window is open.
iGRXY
Member
I’m in the camp that you cash in whenever you can. And personally as strong as the -NAO is from the onset, you’re going to keep seeing corrections further south the closer we get. If I’m in CAD areas, there’s no reason we can’t cash in on a massive 50/50/-NAO combo on the front end just like with wave 2 and 3. I think you’ll keep seeing the heights out east dwindle more and more the closer we get IF these looks maintain into next week.
Euro AI. Not SD obviously
BHS1975
Member
Van Denton in the Triad is honking the horn
Brent
Member
Pretty bullish from the NWS here 
next Sunday
It is possible that
some impactful wintry weather could occur. Stay tuned
Impactful weather wouldn't be a dusting usually here
next SundayIt is possible that
some impactful wintry weather could occur. Stay tuned
Impactful weather wouldn't be a dusting usually here
Not that this is breaking news, just more pretty maps
wow
Member
18z GFS still honking away for 1/6 for NC at least
Amazing. When does that ever happen?
iGRXY
Member
S/W diving down is weaker but the heights over the east are lower also
GFS Trend is south in last 3 runs
iGRXY
Member
We maybe going for it on wave 1
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Yeah, a 1041 in ND will get the job done.
wow
Member
Mid level warm air advection is going to be an issue here based on this setup. The next wave is mine.
Big time ZR event for NC on the 18z GFS on 1/6
wow
Member
Yeah for an ice storm. I'd rather have a cold rain.
iGRXY
Member
Personally I think the 1/6 had a lot of potential for ice in the CAD areas. The GFS is notorious for trying to drive LP into the cold air feed before catching on late. Which is why you keep seeing further south trends
wow
Member
But again, the GFS tends to phase and bomb too soon sometimes. It is a step toward the CMC/Euro.
If the GFS doesn't close off the wave as quickly, the mid-level warm advection (and track) of the upper-level wave would be further south.
Next wave coming down the pipe
iGRXY
Member
Incoming
That and an incredibly strong -NAO. The south trend definitely could continue.
Cad Wedge NC
Member