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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

GEFS. imo the precursor to cold is already beginning to happen under 240hr. EPO flips for us and is followed by a flip of the AO. Cold coming. How long will it last? Not sure. But our window should be here around peak climo which is all you can ask for IMG_0705.gif
 
Press x doubt we get a *persistent* western trough this early in January with this background +U, +Mtn torque, and equatorward momentum surge.

High-latitude pacific/Alaska blocking though?

Yes absolutely.

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GEFS already is getting left out on island with its next western trough at 300 hour.

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Yeah I’m so surprised it is also trending to the eps in the shorter term too… not
 
Slowly but steadily the EPS may be leading us somewhere this time. 1/3 to 1/6 potential for a system is growing. We still have got several more days to go to really get somewhere, but EPS is steady as she goes for now. Especially encouraging to see all the Deep South ensemble member hits.
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The latest Euro model runs were glorious! I've got my fingers and toes crossed that a good old fashioned Miller A can bring the goods for snow starved people of Central North Carolina like me. There is a long way to go before the first week of January arrives but at least we are looking at something in the works.
 
Gainesville Ga

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