Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

[Myfrotho704_]

The barrow boner aka barrow poke ridge is back on means. Normally a precursor to a legit Arctic airmass

 

[CaryWx]

Long ways out of course, but verbatim, this could be a fun front to watch. Looks like the bulk pivots N of us but would be interesting to see where the next few frames went

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This is good. You don't want too much suppression. Yes, way out there though.

 

[SD]

Just a reminder of P7/P8 MJO January.
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1/2 aren't terrible either

 

[1300m]

What the heck is going on with the GEFS forecast?

Stalls out in 7/8, which would be great. Some of the numbers that may look mismatched are from January (19th) if that's what you're asking.

 

[1300m]

1/2 aren't terrible either

Just keeping it on the left side and out of 4-5-6 in January keeps us in the game. 7 enhances our chances as much as we can. We're in the game and models are picking up on the signals - it's all we can hope or ask for. The time to rest is now!

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Keeping in mind that these forecasted anomalies are near the coldest time of year, this is an impressive coast-to-coast anomaly for an ensemble at this range. Wow.

 

[Southern Track]

18z GFS bringing the hounds from a cold standpoint.

 

[Mitch West]

Likely about to get another fantasy run here at the end of the GFS

 

[Mitch West]

She will likely get squashed but man the potential getting into January.

 

[Jessy89]

Suppressed look at this range isn’t a bad thing. Don’t see this being a cutter or Apps runner.


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I like this progression. Siberian express into the lower 48. She’s primed.

 

[CaryWx]

Suppressed look at this range isn’t a bad thing. Don’t see this being a cutter or Apps runner.


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Nope and wouldn't be surprised to get a clipper (or 2) behind this big push

 

[ITUSETOSNOW]

I like this progression. Siberian express into the lower 48. She’s primed. View attachment 156394

D a m n,,, even the ATL heat island is gone from that run.

 

[Brent]

Spann made a post about "much colder air"

 

[griteater]

Euro bullies the attempted -nao out of the way and ends pretty mediocre. This too is within the realm of possibility

Stating the obvious I think, but if I had one wish, it would be to see this type of S shape to setup over S Greenland to New England (from Euro Wk Ctrl - I’ll look at any model run lol). Get something like that in concert with the western ridge, and it would be hard for the pattern to fail. But getting that feature to come together has been ever elusive in recent years

 

[1300m]

Stating the obvious I think, but if I had one wish, it would be to see this type of S shape to setup over S Greenland to New England (from Euro Wk Ctrl - I’ll look at any model run lol). Get something like that in concert with the western ridge, and it would be hard for the pattern to fail. But getting that feature to come together has been ever elusive in recent years

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You're right, this is the look that dreams (and RDU 6"+ snow storms) are made of. It's been teased several times over the last 5 years or so, but we never can get it to fully come together.

 

[Rain Cold]

Stating the obvious I think, but if I had one wish, it would be to see this type of S shape to setup over S Greenland to New England (from Euro Wk Ctrl - I’ll look at any model run lol). Get something like that in concert with the western ridge, and it would be hard for the pattern to fail. But getting that feature to come together has been ever elusive in recent years

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It's textbook how you get a high-impact, long-duration, widespread winter storm in the Southeast.

 

[griteater]

A blend between the Euro Weekly and GEFS Extended for Jan 5 to Jan 12 looks pretty good

 

[accu35]

Barney is coming