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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

4d879e587a85b8b5e937ee3ca664ab96.jpg

This is an op run at super range but the gfs op gets closer than it was by the end of the run.


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I'm all for looking at long range, but I don't understand the constant overreaction to anything at D10 and beyond. Somehow the GEFS has cancelled winter yet looks like this. This literally means nothing to me, but it seems to for others so I show it. Just proves the point it can and will oscillate with basically every run for many more days.
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-total_snow_10to1-1734976800-1736100000-1736100000-40.gif
As I said yesterday, there continues to be a signal for a southern storm/precipitation event in the 1/3 - 1/6 range. Nobody is figuring out the details for a while, but cold air will possibly be nearby so we watch.
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z200_speed-1734976800-1735992000-1735992000-40.gif
 
I'm all for looking at long range, but I don't understand the constant overreaction to anything at D10 and beyond. Somehow the GEFS has cancelled winter yet looks like this. This literally means nothing to me, but it seems to for others so I show it. Just proves the point it can and will oscillate with basically every run for many more days.
View attachment 156552
As I said yesterday, there continues to be a signal for a southern storm/precipitation event in the 1/3 - 1/6 range. Nobody is figuring out the details for a while, but cold air will possibly be nearby so we watch.
View attachment 156553

Just to bounce off that but I think this is the best signal we've had all season so far for some snow around the 2nd-4th here

I'm not even looking seriously at anything beyond that yet it's too far out

I remember when Christmas was gonna be 70 degrees 2 weeks ago... It's mid 50s and rainy now
 
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