Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[LukeBarrette]

Really wonder why the hrrr/rap is so strung out View attachment 100427

Its very odd the we are this close to the event and we have such wild differences. Hopefully hrrr/rap don’t know something the others don’t.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s a nod to the hrrr

 

[TheBatman]

That’s a nod to the hrrr View attachment 100428

Huh??

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Huh??

Much more strung out this nam run, more towards a frontal look vs a ULL/secondary low, the trend sucks for everyone

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Much more strung out this nam run, more towards a frontal look vs a ULL/secondary low, the trend sucks for everyone

Not really a trend yet from one NAM run

 

[SD]

Much more strung out this nam run, more towards a frontal look vs a ULL/secondary low, the trend sucks for everyone

I'll be more concerned if the actual models go that way tonight

 

[cd2play]

nam says what system

 

[TheBatman]

nam says what system

I think the nam is lost. Every run has been different solution

 

[Ward Cleaver]

With the 00z NAM, I went from hoping to see flurries to hoping to see sprinkles. ?

 

[Rain Cold]

I think the nam is lost. Every run has been different solution

It'll amp it up at 36 and then come back to Earth at 18.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

HRW fv3 is amped

 

[Broken024]

@Myfrotho704_

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Avalanche]

View attachment 100432View attachment 100433View attachment 100434View attachment 100435

Dont think we could ask for better LP placement.

 

[Stormlover]

SREF plumes have a 1.59 inch mean for huntsville, 1.89 at muscle shoals. This is Huntsville

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sounding here on the HRW FV3, paste bomb sounding ?

 

[SimeonNC]

View attachment 100432View attachment 100433View attachment 100434View attachment 100435

So fricking close to CLT, ugh.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

So fricking close to CLT, ugh.

Really depends on the backside deformation band setup, if it can develop in the foothills and pivot east then we have a shot with top to bottom cooling, especially the N/NE/E parts of CLT

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

RGEM still a bomb. 1003 over ILM

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Uh okay lol