Webberweather53
Meteorologist
RGEM is usually way too cold and I don't necessarily trust its depiction of snowfall across NC.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Per usual. Always too warm at the surface which throws off the surface precip type depiction.
That’s a pretty good track from Cataloochee to Beech Mountain.
12z GFS coming in even slower 
I know I said that the globals are trivial at this point, but the 12z GFS is more slowed down.
If this thing goes neg tilt just a touch sooner some of you NC guys are going to get a mega weenie run later today. Wouldn’t surprise me a bit. Happy New Years
Cutting off this run 
Parker
Member
Looks like a lot more moisture on the GFS at 54
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I'd argue this is more-so for the NAM and Fv3. Looks like a very real trend here as our wave is getting sampled by RAOBs in the western US
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1,300
- Reaction score
- 3,299
A lot more neutrally tilted on the GFS.
Fountainguy97
Member
modernweeniemodernweenie
Woah this is a full on cutoff upper level low ! 
! 
That’s different ?
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Wow. A 998 from Darlington SC to Manteo. Woof
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1,300
- Reaction score
- 3,299
Even N GA Folks get in on some of the action.?
Much better run! Goes to show you how volatile these small changes can be.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Diurnal timing w/ this is truly ideal for us in NC & VA
Some eye candy
Are you here in NC for this event, or watching from the sidelines in NM?