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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

this one reminds me of that godawful jan 2018 storm in raleigh where we had about 12hrs of heavy sleet and no snow.
 
Model Cha Cha Cha. If anything we usually see CAD’s trend colder and we are still more than 48 hours out


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namconus_ref_frzn_seus_47.png
Very interesting run regarding the wraparound snow
 
I wouldn’t really freak out over this nam run these are classic run to run changes we see with any typical winter storm in the SE View attachment 105096
It is the NAM at 63 hours. I will wait and see what we are looking like late tonight and tommorrow morning with the NAM. I think we are headed for a our typical I-85 special with a sharp gradient of snow to an icy mix.
 
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