I got it out trash, we good
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Storm5
Member
As fun as that looks there is no need to get excited over a day 8-10 storm . Models are still bouncing the day 5-6 storm .
Is it possible sure but My excitement level is like 5 percent
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
GFS reloads for another hit in fantasy land.
I actually consider 240 to be borderline, and we were starting to try to track a storm in the 23rd-25th period earlier, so who knows, but we need to see if the GEFS has a bump because holy cow...what a ridiculous run.
I actually consider 240 to be borderline, and we were starting to try to track a storm in the 23rd-25th period earlier, so who knows, but we need to see if the GEFS has a bump because holy cow...what a ridiculous run.
#AnotherOne #WashRinseRepeat
Storm5
Member
This . We all know we will see more rainy cutter runs over the next few days . This is just one solution well within the ensemble envelope.
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ATLwxfan
Member
This would shut ATL down until Super Bowl Sunday.
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Another Major storm around 330! With these temps, we would have snow on the ground for weeks lol!
the Dec 8-9 storm if I’m not mistaken started to really get everybody’s attention by hour 200-234, need to watch this one for sure but still lots of time for this to change, will probably be a cutter on the next run with a artic outbreak after it
The storm that the 18Z Gfs showed a system on Jan 24th looked similar to the Jan 1988 winterstorm. This could get really interesting.
Jessy89
Member
It would shut down the entire I85 cordore down from Atlanta to Gsp
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pcbjr
Member
Welp, your old Curmudgeon looks dry as a bone ...
Then another hit in long range. Just like the main guys has said, we just got to be patient. It’s just a matter of time. 
Snowflowxxl
Member
Atlanta does not get above FREEZING for 6 straight day's in the end of the run. School and Work would be cancelled for a while lol! Several nights with temps around ZERO!
This Pattern is basically a good kick return, will you take advantage of the good field position ? Or will you whiff and go 3 and out
Yeah, I'm definitely not willing to get too excited. If there will be soild consistency run after run, that's when I'll get excited.
Snowflowxxl
Member
The storm around 336 has temps in the teens to single digits during the duration. Talk about rates!
Yet another winterstorm on the 28th with Snow for many areas on the 18Z GFS. The GFS also keeps the Southeast cold most of the time after Jan 20. I know this will change on the 0Z runs,but,this pattern is loaded with many opportunities for winterstorms. 
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
If this verified I would need several days worth of clothes to camp out at work and would probably end up with several days in a row on the clock with no clock outs. My bank account approves????
Total snow 18z run. 
Good to see a storm that wasn’t a cutter even if it is at 240. Kept seeing cutter after cutter there for almost 48 hours via GFS. Maybe it’s something we consistently begin seeing.
pcbjr
Member
somebody alert Larry !!!! ...
For those that are tossing the 18z GFS run, you shouldn't. The storm system is under 300 hrs. We're talking mid range, not long range. The 18z GFS run maybe the first run to work off of to look for trends on future model runs. You should not toss it.
Yep, fv/gfs were the first to catch on to the dec 8-9 storm
RollTide18
Member
Interested to see the new data at 0z, maybe the beginning of a trend. I'm not really focusing on the individual storms themselves but more of a possible trend towards a snowy pattern for the deep south.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
300 hours does not delineate the medium from the long-range, it's not even close. Closer to 120-168 hours is more applicable, we're a very long ways off from that.
Snownut
Member
We know with the upcoming pattern it's just a matter of time before a board wide storm hits
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We gotta get this weekend artic front thru here first. Then we going to see what’s going to happen with this 2nd system for example: blocking, how much cold air, and etc.
Need that big storm low for 1/24 to swing further south to give south Louisiana a good thumping. The overall trend is very encouraging though.
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
GEFS is on the clock and I think outside of one ensemble based on the COD meteorology website it doesn't show a similar solution. Oh well.
It might end up being a bit better than recent runs though, we'll see.
Oh well. It might end up being a bit better than recent runs though, we'll see.
Jessy89
Member
The models have consistently agreed to a pattern change. One that should produce a winter storm for a lot of the southeast. I really think that’s been pretty consistent
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Storm5
Member
GEFS is on the clock and I think outside of one ensemble based on the COD meteorology website it doesn't show a similar solution.
It might end up being a bit better than recent runs though, we'll see.
Again this solution was in the gefs envelope of possible solutions . We shouldn’t see a drastic change on the 18z gefs
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So, you're saying this storm system isn't in the mid range with it being in the 1/23 - 1/24 time frame? which is not far off from with it being in the 7 day window. Besides, the beginnings of the storm is under 240hrs. Mid range IMO.
GEFS mean after first snowstorm. Will post the rest of it when it is done.
Jessy89
Member
Oh my John ceserish on channel 4 just said we could have a winter storm the middle of next week. Can you believe he even mention something over 7 days away. I hope someone else heard that
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Snowflowxxl
Member
FV3 might have something here in a second...
Almost all gefs ensembles show alabama getting some backside snow with the 1/20 system
Fountainguy97
Member
Short range: 0-84hrs (short range models)
Mid range: 84-168 (models usually “lock down” a storm in mid range
Long range: 168+ Expect massive shifts run to run
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
That storm is no less than 9 to even 10 days out, I wouldn’t consider this the medium range .
Snowflowxxl
Member
Short range 1-3
Mid Range 3-6
Long Range 6-9
9+ Nonsense
Mid Range 3-6
Long Range 6-9
9+ Nonsense
Long range but...even the regular GFS is very cold.
