Pattern Jammin' January

[Golf7575]

They work in tandem. As the westerlies move east and drive down the SOI and move the MJO eastward the better the pattern.

One more thing Chris, ive been hearing about this +eamt event. Webber alluded to it earlier, but what will that actually do for us long term?

 

[Stormlover]

We really aren't that far off from normal with snowcover at this point.

 

[snowlover91]

Yep snow cover is pretty normal right now for North America.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

We really aren't that far off from normal with snowcover at this point.
View attachment 9954

Unfortunately almost all of the snow cover is in areas where hardly nobody lives.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Unfortunately almost all of the snow cover is in areas where hardly nobody lives.

Which doesn’t make it any less normal

 

[Rain Cold]

Twittersphere lighting up about the Weeklies still honking a cold pattern from the last week of Jan through Feb.

 

[GaWx]

18Z GFS coldest run in awhile day 7+.

 

[Kylo]

Twittersphere lighting up about the Weeklies still honking a cold pattern from the last week of Jan through Feb.

Weeklies look like a better version of GEFS Jan21-28 then complete hammer time pattern week 4.

 

[Kylo]

Weeklies temps week 3 and 4. Actually better than Monday's run.

 

[Jon]

Weeklies look like a better version of GEFS Jan21-28 then complete hammer time pattern week 4.

Yep lol



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[deltadog03]

One more thing Chris, ive been hearing about this +eamt event. Webber alluded to it earlier, but what will that actually do for us long term?

I’m not sure to be honest. Webb or other know more about that than I do.

 

[accu35]

No one is making anyone feel dumb . People can believe what they want . That’s the whole point of the board


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I'm picking with ya

 

[Stormlover]

Which doesn’t make it any less normal

Yeah, I don't know what that had to do with anything, lol

 

[1300m]

I think we will continue to see improvement because of the MJO progression and the SOI dropping

Agreed.

 

[TheBatman]

I have to say this for the fv3. I think it actually was the first to sniff out the winter storm for Texas/Oklahoma... I think once they get the bugs work out it will eventually surpass the euro.

 

[1300m]

I have to say this for the fv3. I think it actually was the first to sniff out the winter storm for Texas/Oklahoma... I think once they get the bugs work out it will eventually surpass the euro.

From D5 and sooner it already has to me. One of my colleagues went to MN for Christmas and was telling me how the FV3 nailed the rain/snow transition and the Euro busted hard. FV3 has been very good inside 120 over the past year. Using deterministic runs beyond that is pretty silly anyways, so for me, I'm a huge FV3 fan.

 

[deltadog03]

Agreed.

Thank goodness for that, because if not, I think winter would super be in trouble.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Not as good as the one from a week or two ago but I’ll settle

 

[deltadog03]

I will also say that euro did (for a few runs for sure) have this system moving much further north than what it will. All models will bust at times for sure.

 

[1300m]

Thank goodness for that, because if not, I think winter would super be in trouble.

I think the SSW in tandem with this could still produce something pretty special by late January/early February.