I wish that just one time the cold predicted by the CMC 5-10 days out would verify. Seems like it never has when it was different and more severe than what the other models were showing12z GFS and CMC are still much different in regards to the cold next week
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That is $ in the bank. I'm increasingly confident we'll see a (possibly multiple) winter weather threat(s) between the 1/7 and 1/20 period.12z gefs![]()
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Banks closed for the holidays!That is $ in the bank. I'm increasingly confident we'll see a (possibly multiple) winter weather threat(s) between the 1/7 and 1/20 period.
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we might be waiting for a while over here on the east side. We’ll go from cutter to runner then we will get crushed by a major Miller A rain event around Feb 10. Fun times ahead( Mack ????Banks closed for the holidays!![]()
That is $ in the bank. I'm increasingly confident we'll see a (possibly multiple) winter weather threat(s) between the 1/7 and 1/20 period.
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nope, back openBanks closed for the holidays!![]()
Depends on some factors ... but IMBY is certainly, perhaps maybe, not one of them ...Canadian agrees which is nice to see.
What I’m really concerned with is how we’re fixing to run the table on the cold phases from mid Jan thru much of Feb, the slower short term movement only delays the practically inevitable pattern change that’s coming. Unlike the last several previous MJO waves this one is strong and moving much slower and it could be virtually February before we hit the Indian Ocean which also favors colder temps here in late winter and spring. This aligns nicely with favored Niño climo for wintry weather from late Jan thru early March. I’ve got a hunch we might crank out another event the 2nd or 3rd week of January before we even hit this canonical Nino window.Look at how much time it’s spending in the crappy phases vs the good ones.
It’s a step down process! AR, TN have to get their snow first, then it steps down over us and crushes ATL to Augusta!Why does the GFS look so sh*tty at 500mb? It’s a convoluted mess with no order and before someone says “it’s just another possible solution”, just don’t. Ok
That probably beats the GSP record!? Definitely for the last 10-15 years!
We may go from a river of rain to suppressionville
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EPS still not with the GEPS/GEFS with EPO drop. Wonder who will win this.
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It’s trying but yeah it’s struggling . The eps has been all
Over the place lately
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How is it yesterday looked like January would be cold. Now it’s backed off a good bit on the cold?
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Models continue to give an opportunity for nxt week. Probably won’t happen but theirs an opportunity!GFS close to something during the middle of next week
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Fear the NW trend.GFS close to something during the middle of next week
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GFS close to something during the middle of next week
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Man, I’ve seen that look a few times a ways out, and it has turned out nice on down the road. Wish it would get some ensemble support and maybe materialize
GFS keeping it seasonable and hinting at a mid January thaw. She’s really going out in style.
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This may pose a problem in terms of getting sustained cold after the PV disruption.
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This may pose a problem in terms of getting sustained cold after the PV disruption.
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