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0z GFS, looking good so far.
There you are. Hr 174
Jon
Member
00z GFS has a decent snow for the southern part of the gulf states and even the panhandle of FL? Need we trust this one? lol. Similar to the ICON. (I'm going by 850 temps. might not be snow on the ptype maps)
3-4" snow Macon. GA to near Augusta per my clown map! @deltadog03 @GeorgiaGirl
Storm5
Member
Lol the gfs still got there with a sh$$$$ ridge .
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Just think if it was such a crap ridge this run probably would have been golden...
Jon
Member
As long as it's not sub 1000mb it won't amp up too much. 1014 is very weak. I'd like to see a 1004mb low or something spewing moisture over the gulf states..if it's cold enough it will be fine. Of course it depends on where it goes neutral, etc...but 1004mb low over the gulf would be prime, and it's not gonna amp until the gulf folks have their fair share and it can make it's way to SC and NC and make us all happy
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Look at the GFS! I'd certainly take it:
Really weak low. 1016 mb
Snowflowxxl
Member
BOOM! Nice southeast snow! Every model tonight! ICON, CMC, GFS
7 days of having to watch this threat. Ohoy !! ??????????????????????????????????????
Wow!! I will take it.
I would like to see what fv3 has to say. Since it is the high resolution of the gfs.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
At least it will be less boring at work next week.
Stormlover
Member
Canadian 
Ironically, very weak lows usually give the best shot at something big (a few inches is big) for the deep south.
Jon
Member
Yeah, not ideal at all. Not sure how it gets that much moisture that far inland. 0.4-0.5" QPF maximum, still hard to believe but I guess there's no reason to break it down right now. This should at least get the board hopeful there's some blue over their counties lol
Canadian is not good looking for us in the Carolinas, I guess It amps the low to much for us, just looked it it was also the most further west
Wow at the candian. Nice track of the low. I would expect the gfs has the low about the same strength. It would be more believable 
Finally some run to run consistency around here.
The 0Z GFS -NAO is on steroids! What will the rest of this run bring?
Edit: look out folks,this is setting up for something special in the 11-15! I don't think I've ever seen a more robust -NAO! And then the western ridge is strong. Big Arctic high (1058 mb) building W Canada. Watch out!
Edit: look out folks,this is setting up for something special in the 11-15! I don't think I've ever seen a more robust -NAO! And then the western ridge is strong. Big Arctic high (1058 mb) building W Canada. Watch out!
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
BTW: The FV3 will unfortunately be not as good as it was at 18z when y'all see it based off these maps I think. It just has pretty light precip. The good thing though is other models are on board for something.
And no with the NOAA website, I don't really feel like poking around it to try to figure out why. With the more sorted out website, I can look and give an opinion, but not really with that website.
And no with the NOAA website, I don't really feel like poking around it to try to figure out why. With the more sorted out website, I can look and give an opinion, but not really with that website.
Ouu 
Going back to the days of old where the gfs dropped the hammer post D10
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Ready?
Storm5
Member
And the ensembles
Cash out now. Lol
Yes sir
We wait for storm5 approval. And also this is still 7 days out. We really need to wait till 5 days.
Soon. Prob tomorrow if models look good or at least show potential
Not yet you don’t. Patience with this one. I would like to see it move further south in the next couple of days..
And just as a point of reference, the highest pressure ever measured in the lower 48 is 1064 mb. Yes, it’s 1 run 10 days away, but that would be seriously dangerous cold.
@deltadog03 will fire up this thread as soon as he is ready to do so.... sorry but that's the end of the thread discussion. I swear as soon as someone mentions start a thread it snowballs and post have to get moved. Thanks again for understanding.
Yeah the cmc does not look good at the sfc, but that does not matter at this time frame, it looks good at h5