Pattern Jammin' January

[SnowNiner]

All I need is a western ridge and a -epo . You Carolina peeps can worry about the NAO . I figure we get a 2-3week window with chances starting the week of the 20th. A -epo pattern has been money for the last decade for my area . What’s the saying , if it’s not broken don’t fix it .


That said if we happen to get a -NAO that’s great . Then maybe we can get a slow crawling Miller A . One can dream right ?



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Agreed. I think your -EPO pattern is a given honestly. I've said from day one that's probably going to be this winter's theme....persistence. What we've had in our cold patterns this year is what we've had for the last several winters, -EPO/+PNA/+ or neutral NAO.

The weeklies at week 4 have a true -NAO with not just ridging over greenland, but lower heights in SE Canada/Nova Scotia/West Atlantic. That's what I'd really like to get a hold of, but what I think is a mirage. The west coast ridging just does not want to leave. I think when we get rid of the WAR and get a true -NAO we get a real Miller A IMO.

 

[Rain Cold]

Did we have a -NAO with the December storm?

I *think* the value might have been negative, but the configuration certainly wasn't ideal.

 

[SnowNiner]

I *think* the value might have been negative, but the configuration certainly wasn't ideal.

Agreed, I thought it was neutralish negative. Bit of ridging over greenland and a 50/50 low. Not stout by any means IIRC.

 

[Storm5]

Man St. Louis gets crushed again next weekend with snow on the 12z gfs


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[SnowNiner]

Do you believe in unicorns? Are they actually real this time? Can't be can it?

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Man St. Louis gets crushed again next weekend with snow on the 12z gfs


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All of their snow probably won't even be melted by then lol.

 

[whatalife]

All of their snow probably won't even be melted by then lol.

Having a healthy snowpack to our north certainly can’t hurt as we move forward.


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[TheBatman]

Man St. Louis gets crushed again next weekend with snow on the 12z gfs


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All of their snow probably won't even be melted by then lol.

Could you imagine with the artic gates opens up with all that snow on the ground. It wouldn’t be much moderation in temps. That would pretty awesome..

 

[tennessee storm]

Could you imagine with the artic gates opens up with all that snow on the ground. It wouldn’t be much moderation in temps. That would pretty awesome..

will someone please un lock the gates then....

 

[Storm5]

12z GFS has the coldest air on the planet on our side of globe inside day ten


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[SoutheastRidge]

Having a healthy snowpack to our north certainly can’t hurt as we move forward.


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Snow for me is good for you down the road, as long as it doesnt melt

 

[TheBatman]

All of their snow probably won't even be melted by then lol.

Check that out. Just amazing for Southern Illinois and Missouri .. wow!!

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Check that out. Just amazing for Southern Illinois and Missouri .. wow!!View attachment 10686

It shows over a foot here so there must be another snow on the way between now and the 20th.

 

[GaStorm]

Do you believe in unicorns? Are they actually real this time? Can't be can it?

View attachment 10683

The split is going good. Judah mentioned the QBO reversal was one of the main reasons for this. Hoping it can produce a -NAO at some point.

 

[Storm5]

A great snow pattern for the Midwest on the 12z gfs between now and January 22nd . Gonna be feet in those areas if this run were to verify


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[tennessee storm]

A great snow pattern for the Midwest on the 12z gfs between now and January 22nd . Gonna be feet in those areas if this run were to verify


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yep... were going to have to get a neg nao in some fashion to drive the storm track south....

 

[Storm5]

yep... were going to have to get a neg nao in some fashion to drive the storm track south....

We don’t need that , we just a western ridge to establish. There is plenty of cold air around

But since you mentioned the nao the 12z gfs goes nuts

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[tennessee storm]

We don’t need that , we just a western ridge to establish. There is plenty of cold air around

But since you mentioned the nao the 12z gfs goes nuts

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holy jesus batman... wow

 

[RollTide18]

Look at all that energy

 

[TheBatman]

We don’t need that , we just a western ridge to establish. There is plenty of cold air around

But since you mentioned the nao the 12z gfs goes nuts

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Just beautiful!!! This is what we have been waiting. And the best thing is... It’s within our grasp...