hslc event for the gulf coast this weekend ?
It's possible.
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms, some severe, are expected across parts of the Gulf
Coast states on Saturday with damaging wind gusts and perhaps a
tornado or two.
...Synopsis...
A potent shortwave trough will continue east out of TX and into the
Lower MS Valley during the day with low pressure moving from eastern
AR across KY and TN. A cold front will trail southward from the low,
progressing across MS and AL during the day and into northwest GA by
00Z. Southerly surface winds will allow low 60s F dewpoints to
return north, with
strong veering winds with height favoring severe
storms despite marginal instability.
Overnight, the surface low will move off the Delmarva with the cold
front affecting eastern NC into Sunday morning. Here, instability
for strong or severe storms is forecast to remain mostly offshore.
...Southeast LA...MS...AL...FL Panhandle...Southwest GA...
Ongoing storms across the Lower MS Valley Saturday morning are
forecast to consolidate along the cold front into central MS by 18Z,
and continue eastward into AL through afternoon. Large looping
hodographs combined with sufficient instability will favor
line
segments, possibly QLCS in nature, or perhaps a supercell or two
capable of a brief tornado. Damaging winds appear to be the primary
threat across the Slight Risk area with 850 mb winds of 50-60 kt. By
evening, as the front progresses into GA, the risk is expected to
wane as instability becomes less, and large-scale lift shifts
northeast of the area. Still, a few damaging wind gusts may occur
into GA.
